Aktüerler İklim Endeksi: Türkiye için Bir Uygulama

Yıl 2022, Cilt: 12 Sayı: 2, 14 - 25, 15.12.2022

Ezgi Nevruz , Raif Yakup Atıcı , Kasirga Yildirak

Öz

Bu makalenin amacı, ekstrem hava ve deniz seviyesi değişikliklerinin bir ölçüsü olan Aktüerler İklim İndeksinin (AİE) için bir Türkiye uygulamasını önermektir. Endeks, iklim değişikliğinin neden olduğu risklerle çalışan bilim insanlarına, uygulayıcılara ve politika yapıcılara, bu risklerin finansal etkilerini analiz etmelerinde yardımcı olmak için periyodik olarak veri ve bilgi sağlamaktadır. Bu amaçla, standart veri tabanlarından elde edilen verileri kullanarak Ankara ili için AİE hesaplanmıştır. Bu makalede önerilen uygulama tüm ülke kapsamına genişletildiğinde, önerilen hesaplama ilk olarak Kanada’da ve ABD’de geliştirilen AİE’lerinin devamı olan Avrupa AİE’de yer alan tüm Avrupa ülkelerine ek olarak Türkiye’nin de dahil olmasına yardımcı olacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekstrem Hava Riskleri, Eşik Değer, İklim Değişikliği, Referans Periyodu, Standartlaştırılmış Anomali, Sürdürülebilirlik

Actuaries Climate Index: An Application for Turkey

Öz

The aim of this paper is to propose a Turkish application of the Actuaries Climate Index (ACI), which is a measure of changes in extreme weather and sea levels. The index periodically provides data and information to scientists, practitioners and policy makers working with the risks caused by climate change in order to help them analyze the financial effects of these risks. For this aim, we calculate ACI for Ankara province using data obtained from standard databases. When the application suggested in this article is extended to the entire country, the recommended calculation will help the involvement of Turkey in addition to all European countries included in the European ACI, which is the continuation of the ACIs developed primarily in Canada and the USA.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Climate Change, Extreme Weather Risks, Threshold, Reference Period, Standardized Anomaly, Sustainability

Kaynakça

• ACI (2018), Actuaries Climate Index: Development and Design, the American Academy of Actuaries, the Canadian Institute of Actuaries, the Casualty Actuarial Society, and the Society of Actuaries, Available online: https://actuariesclimateindex.org/wp-content/uploads/2019/05/ACI.DevDes.2.20.pdf (accessed on 21 October 2022).
• AACI (2018), Design Documentation: Australian Actuaries Climate Index, November 2018, Available online: https://actuaries.logicaldoc.cloud/download-ticket?ticketId=52034b4d-5c50-4bff-b4d7-05e084d2fc42 (accessed on 21 October 2022).
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