Gelecek-11 Ülkelerinde İhracat ve Büyüme İlişkisi: Bootstrap Granger Nedensellik Analizi

Yıl 2019, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 56, 522 - 535, 31.10.2019

Asli Ozpolat

Öz

Büyüme ve büyümenin
kaynakları iktisat yazınında en çok araştırılan konuların başında gelmektedir.
Büyümenin kaynakları arasında ihracat, ithalat, üretim, yatırım gibi faktörler
yer almaktadır. Bu faktörler arasında en etkili aracın ihracat olduğu yönünde birçok
ampirik çalışma bulunmaktadır. İhracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi olarak ifade
edilen yaklaşıma göre ihracatın artışı büyümeyi pozitif yönde etkilemekte ve
büyümenin sürdürülebilir olmasına destek olmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, Gelecek-11
ülkeleri için 1989-2017 yılları arasında ihracat ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki
ilişki Bootstrap Granger Nedensellik analiziyle tahmin edilmiştir. Elde edilen
sonuçlara göre iki ülkede ihracata dayalı büyüme hipotezi kabul edilmiştir. 

Anahtar Kelimeler

İhracat, Ekonomik Büyüme

Kaynakça

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