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GROSS PROFITABILITY AND 52-WEEK HIGH PRICE

Year 2021, Volume: 8 Issue: 2, 704 - 719, 27.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.790900

Abstract

The purpose of the study is to measure the conjoint effect of investment strategy based on gross profitability and 52-week high in Borsa İstanbul for the period 2007-2016. The strategy suggests the investors can profit when they take a long position on stocks with high gross profitability and 52-week high, and short position on stocks with low gross profitability and 52-week high. The portfolio method is used in the analysis. The portfolios sorted on 52-week high provide premium but statistically insignificant whereas gross profitability premium is found positively significant. Besides that, the seasonality of profitability returns is observed, though it is weak. When the strategies are analyzed together, the findings exhibit no superior performance of combined strategy despite of positive premium. It may stem from 52-week high effect that is employed as an alternative measure of momentum. This study exhibits a new evidence in the context of the joint effect of strategies. It’s considered that forthcoming researches might focus on the combined performances of the other strategies also by employing alternative measures.

References

  • Akbas, F., Jiang, C., & Koch, P. D. (2017). The trend in firm profitability and the cross-section of stock returns. The Accounting Review, 92(5), 1–32.
  • Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1986). Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread. Journal of Financial Economics, 17(2), 223-249.
  • Asem, E. (2009). Dividends and price momentum. Journal of Banking & Finance, 33(3), 486-494.
  • Asness, C. S., Moskowitz, T. J., & Pedersen, L. H. (2013). Value and momentum everywhere. The Journal of Finance, 68(3), 929-985.
  • Avramov, D., Chordia, T., Jostova, G., & Philipov, A. (2007). Momentum and credit rating. The Journal of Finance, 62(5), 2503-2520.
  • Aydemir, O., Ögel, S., & Demirtaş, G. (2012). Hisse senetleri fiyatlarının belirlenmesinde finansal oranların rolü. Journal of Management & Economics, 19(2), 277-288.
  • Ball, R., Gerakos, J., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nikolaev, V. V. (2015). Deflating profitability. Journal of Financial Economics, 117(2), 225-248.
  • Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3-18.
  • Basu, S. (1977). Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price‐earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The Journal of Finance, 32(3), 663-682.
  • Berggrun, L., Cardona, E., & Lizarzaburu, E. (2020). Firm profitability and expected stock returns: Evidence from Latin America. Research in International Business and Finance, 51, 101119.
  • Bhandari, L. C. (1988). Debt/equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence. The Journal of Finance, 43(2), 507-528.
  • Bhootra, A., & Hur, J. (2013). The timing of 52-week high price and momentum. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(10), 3773-3782.
  • Bhootra, A. (2018). Gross profitability and momentum. Managerial Finance, 44(8), 992-1011.
  • Bornholt, G., & Malin, M. (2011). Is the 52-week high effect as strong as momentum? Evidence from developed and emerging market indices. Applied Financial Economics, 21(18), 1369-1379.
  • Burghof, H. P., & Prothmann, F. (2011). The 52-week high strategy and information uncertainty. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 25(4), 345-378.
  • Chang, T. P. (2019). Buy low and sell high: The 52-week price range and predictability of returns. International Review of Finance, 1-9.
  • Chen, L., Novy-Marx, R., & Zhang, L. (2011). An alternative three-factor model. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1418117 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1418117
  • Chen, T. F., Sun, L., Wei, K. J., & Xie, F. (2018). The profitability effect: Insights from international equity markets. European Financial Management, 24(4), 545-580.
  • Chordia, T., & Shivakumar, L. (2006). Earnings and price momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 80(3), 627-656.
  • Cooper, M. J., Gutierrez Jr, R. C., & Hameed, A. (2004). Market states and momentum. The Journal of Finance, 59(3), 1345-1365.
  • Daniel, K., & Titman, S. (1999). Market efficiency in an irrational world. Financial Analysts Journal, 55(6), 28-40.
  • D'Mello, R., Ferris, S. P., & Hwang, C. Y. (2003). The tax-loss selling hypothesis, market liquidity, and price pressure around the turn-of-the-year. Journal of Financial Markets, 6(1), 73-98.
  • Du, D. (2008). The 52-week high and momentum investing in international stock indices, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 48, 61–77.
  • Ersoy, E., & Ünlü, U. (2013). Size, book to market ratio and momentum strategies: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(3), 28-33.
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2008). Dissecting anomalies. The Journal of Finance, 63(4), 1653-1678.
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
  • George, T. J., & Hwang, C. Y. (2004). The 52-week high and momentum investing. The Journal of Finance, 59(5), 2145-2176.
  • George, T. J., Hwang, C. Y., & Li, Y. (2015). Anchoring, the 52-week high and post earnings announcement drift. Available at SSRN 2391455.
  • Gharghori, P., Lee, R., & Veeraraghavan, M. (2009). Anomalies and stock returns: Australian evidence. Accounting & Finance, 49(3), 555-576.
  • Griffiths, M. D., & White, R. W. (1993). Tax-induced trading and the turn-of-the-year anomaly: An intraday study. The Journal of Finance, 48(2), 575-598.
  • Grundy, B. D., & Martin, J. S. M. (2001). Understanding the nature of the risks and the source of the rewards to momentum investing. The Review of Financial Studies, 14(1), 29-78.
  • Hao, Y., Chu, H. H., Ho, K. Y., & Ko, K. C. (2016). The 52-week high and momentum in the Taiwan stock market: Anchoring or recency biases?. International Review of Economics & Finance, 43, 121-138.
  • Haug, M., & Hirschey, M. (2006). The january effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(5), 78-88.
  • Haugen, R. A., & Baker, N. L. (1996). Commonality in the determinants of expected stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 41(3), 401-439.
  • Hong, H., Lim, T., & Stein, J. C. (2000). Bad news travels slowly: Size, analyst coverage, and the profitability of momentum strategies. The Journal of Finance, 55(1), 265-295.
  • Hong, X., Jordan, B. D., & Liu, M. H. (2015). Industry information and the 52-week high effect. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 32, 111-130.
  • Hou, K., Xue, C., & Zhang, L. (2015). Digesting anomalies: An investment approach. The Review of Financial Studies, 28(3), 650-705.
  • Huddart, S., Lang, M., & Yetman, M. H. (2009). Volume and price patterns around a stock's 52-week highs and lows: Theory and evidence. Management Science, 55(1), 16-31.
  • Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
  • Kalayci, S., & Karatas, A. (2005). Hisse senedi getirileri ve finansal oranlar iliskisi: IMKB'de bir temel analiz arastirmasi. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, (27), 146-157.
  • Kandir, S. Y., & Inan, H. (2011). Momentum yatirim stratejisinin karliliginin IMKB’de test edilmesi. BDDK Bankacilik ve Finansal Piyasalar, 5(2), 51-70.
  • Keim, D. B. (1983). Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: Further empirical evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 12(1), 13-32.
  • Keloharju, M., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nyberg, P. (2016). Return seasonalities. The Journal of Finance, 71(4), 1557-1590.
  • Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
  • Lam, F. Y., Wang, S., & Wei, K. C. (2015). The profitability premium: Macroeconomic risks or expectation errors? Financial Management Association (FMA) 2014 conference, Available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2726027
  • Li, D., & Zhang, L. (2010). Does q-theory with investment frictions explain anomalies in the cross section of returns?. Journal of Financial Economics, 98(2), 297-314.
  • Li, J., & Yu, J. (2012). Investor attention, psychological anchors, and stock return predictability. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 401-419.
  • Liu, M., Liu, Q., & Ma, T., (2011). The 52-week high momentum strategy in international stock markets. Journal of International Money and Finance 30, 180-204.
  • Marshall, B. R., & Cahan, R. M. (2005). Is the 52-week high momentum strategy profitable outside the US?. Applied Financial Economics, 15(18), 1259-1267.
  • Moskowitz, T. J., & Grinblatt, M. (1999). Do industries explain momentum?. The Journal of Finance, 54(4), 1249-1290.
  • Novy-Marx, R. (2013). The other side of value: The gross profitability premium. Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), 1-28.
  • Roll, R. (1983). Vas ist das?. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 9(2), 18-28.
  • Rosenberg, B., Reid, K., & Lanstein, R. (1985). Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 11(3), 9-16.
  • Stattman, D. (1980). Book values and stock returns. The Chicago MBA: A Journal of Selected Papers, 4(1), 25-45.
  • Sehgal, S., & Subramaniam, S. (2012). An empirical investigation of the profitability anomaly in the Indian stock market. Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, 4(2), 347-362.
  • Wang, H., & Yu, J. (2013). Dissecting the profitability premium. In AFA 2013 San Diego Meetings Paper.
  • Wahal, S. (2019). The profitability and investment premium: Pre-1963 evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 131(2), 362-377.
  • Wahal, S. & Repetto, E (2020). The Joint Distribution of Value and Profitability: International Evidence (November 30, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3739571 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3739571.
  • Yao, Y. (2012). Momentum, contrarian, and the January seasonality. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(10), 2757-2769.
  • Zhong, A., Limkriangkrai, M., & Gray, P. (2014). Anomalies, risk adjustment and seasonality: Australian evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 35, 207-218.

BRÜT KARLILIK VE 52- HAFTANIN YÜKSEK FİYATI

Year 2021, Volume: 8 Issue: 2, 704 - 719, 27.07.2021
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.790900

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, 52-haftanın yüksek fiyatı ile brüt karlılık ölçütünün birlikte etkisine dayalı oluşturulan yatırım stratejisinin etkinliğini 2007-2016 döneminde Borsa İstanbul’da ölçmektir. Bu stratejiye göre yatırımcılar, 52-haftanın yüksek fiyatı ile brüt karlılığı yüksek olan hisse senetlerinde uzun pozisyon, düşük olan hisse senetlerinde ise, kısa pozisyon alarak piyasalarda daha yüksek kar elde edebileceklerdir. Analizlerde portföy yaklaşımı kullanılmıştır. 52-haftanın yüksek fiyatına dayalı oluşturulan portföyler pozitif getiri sağlamasına rağmen istatistiki olarak anlamlı değildir. Öte yandan karlılık primi hem pozitif hem de istatistiki olarak anlamlı bulunmuştur. Karlılık priminde zayıf da olsa Ocak ayı etkisi gözlenmiştir. İki yatırım stratejisi birlikte analiz edildiğinde ise, pozitif getiri elde edilmesine karşın anlamlı bulunmamıştır. Bunun sebebinin, 52-haftanın yüksek fiyatının momentum ölçütünün alternatifi olarak kullanılmasından kaynaklı olabileceği düşünülmektedir. Bu çalışma, yatırım stratejilerinin birlikte performansını ölçmeye yönelik yeni bir bulgu ortaya koymaktadır. İleriki çalışmaların alternatif ölçütler kullanılarak ve farklı yatırım stratejilerinin birlikte değerlendirilmesine ilişkin yapılabileceği düşünülmektedir.

References

  • Akbas, F., Jiang, C., & Koch, P. D. (2017). The trend in firm profitability and the cross-section of stock returns. The Accounting Review, 92(5), 1–32.
  • Amihud, Y., & Mendelson, H. (1986). Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread. Journal of Financial Economics, 17(2), 223-249.
  • Asem, E. (2009). Dividends and price momentum. Journal of Banking & Finance, 33(3), 486-494.
  • Asness, C. S., Moskowitz, T. J., & Pedersen, L. H. (2013). Value and momentum everywhere. The Journal of Finance, 68(3), 929-985.
  • Avramov, D., Chordia, T., Jostova, G., & Philipov, A. (2007). Momentum and credit rating. The Journal of Finance, 62(5), 2503-2520.
  • Aydemir, O., Ögel, S., & Demirtaş, G. (2012). Hisse senetleri fiyatlarının belirlenmesinde finansal oranların rolü. Journal of Management & Economics, 19(2), 277-288.
  • Ball, R., Gerakos, J., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nikolaev, V. V. (2015). Deflating profitability. Journal of Financial Economics, 117(2), 225-248.
  • Banz, R. W. (1981). The relationship between return and market value of common stocks. Journal of Financial Economics, 9(1), 3-18.
  • Basu, S. (1977). Investment performance of common stocks in relation to their price‐earnings ratios: A test of the efficient market hypothesis. The Journal of Finance, 32(3), 663-682.
  • Berggrun, L., Cardona, E., & Lizarzaburu, E. (2020). Firm profitability and expected stock returns: Evidence from Latin America. Research in International Business and Finance, 51, 101119.
  • Bhandari, L. C. (1988). Debt/equity ratio and expected common stock returns: Empirical evidence. The Journal of Finance, 43(2), 507-528.
  • Bhootra, A., & Hur, J. (2013). The timing of 52-week high price and momentum. Journal of Banking & Finance, 37(10), 3773-3782.
  • Bhootra, A. (2018). Gross profitability and momentum. Managerial Finance, 44(8), 992-1011.
  • Bornholt, G., & Malin, M. (2011). Is the 52-week high effect as strong as momentum? Evidence from developed and emerging market indices. Applied Financial Economics, 21(18), 1369-1379.
  • Burghof, H. P., & Prothmann, F. (2011). The 52-week high strategy and information uncertainty. Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, 25(4), 345-378.
  • Chang, T. P. (2019). Buy low and sell high: The 52-week price range and predictability of returns. International Review of Finance, 1-9.
  • Chen, L., Novy-Marx, R., & Zhang, L. (2011). An alternative three-factor model. Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=1418117 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.1418117
  • Chen, T. F., Sun, L., Wei, K. J., & Xie, F. (2018). The profitability effect: Insights from international equity markets. European Financial Management, 24(4), 545-580.
  • Chordia, T., & Shivakumar, L. (2006). Earnings and price momentum. Journal of Financial Economics, 80(3), 627-656.
  • Cooper, M. J., Gutierrez Jr, R. C., & Hameed, A. (2004). Market states and momentum. The Journal of Finance, 59(3), 1345-1365.
  • Daniel, K., & Titman, S. (1999). Market efficiency in an irrational world. Financial Analysts Journal, 55(6), 28-40.
  • D'Mello, R., Ferris, S. P., & Hwang, C. Y. (2003). The tax-loss selling hypothesis, market liquidity, and price pressure around the turn-of-the-year. Journal of Financial Markets, 6(1), 73-98.
  • Du, D. (2008). The 52-week high and momentum investing in international stock indices, The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, 48, 61–77.
  • Ersoy, E., & Ünlü, U. (2013). Size, book to market ratio and momentum strategies: Evidence from Istanbul Stock Exchange. International Journal of Economic Perspectives, 7(3), 28-33.
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2008). Dissecting anomalies. The Journal of Finance, 63(4), 1653-1678.
  • Fama, E. F., & French, K. R. (2015). A five-factor asset pricing model. Journal of Financial Economics, 116(1), 1-22.
  • George, T. J., & Hwang, C. Y. (2004). The 52-week high and momentum investing. The Journal of Finance, 59(5), 2145-2176.
  • George, T. J., Hwang, C. Y., & Li, Y. (2015). Anchoring, the 52-week high and post earnings announcement drift. Available at SSRN 2391455.
  • Gharghori, P., Lee, R., & Veeraraghavan, M. (2009). Anomalies and stock returns: Australian evidence. Accounting & Finance, 49(3), 555-576.
  • Griffiths, M. D., & White, R. W. (1993). Tax-induced trading and the turn-of-the-year anomaly: An intraday study. The Journal of Finance, 48(2), 575-598.
  • Grundy, B. D., & Martin, J. S. M. (2001). Understanding the nature of the risks and the source of the rewards to momentum investing. The Review of Financial Studies, 14(1), 29-78.
  • Hao, Y., Chu, H. H., Ho, K. Y., & Ko, K. C. (2016). The 52-week high and momentum in the Taiwan stock market: Anchoring or recency biases?. International Review of Economics & Finance, 43, 121-138.
  • Haug, M., & Hirschey, M. (2006). The january effect. Financial Analysts Journal, 62(5), 78-88.
  • Haugen, R. A., & Baker, N. L. (1996). Commonality in the determinants of expected stock returns. Journal of Financial Economics, 41(3), 401-439.
  • Hong, H., Lim, T., & Stein, J. C. (2000). Bad news travels slowly: Size, analyst coverage, and the profitability of momentum strategies. The Journal of Finance, 55(1), 265-295.
  • Hong, X., Jordan, B. D., & Liu, M. H. (2015). Industry information and the 52-week high effect. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 32, 111-130.
  • Hou, K., Xue, C., & Zhang, L. (2015). Digesting anomalies: An investment approach. The Review of Financial Studies, 28(3), 650-705.
  • Huddart, S., Lang, M., & Yetman, M. H. (2009). Volume and price patterns around a stock's 52-week highs and lows: Theory and evidence. Management Science, 55(1), 16-31.
  • Jegadeesh, N., & Titman, S. (1993). Returns to buying winners and selling losers: Implications for stock market efficiency. The Journal of Finance, 48(1), 65-91.
  • Kalayci, S., & Karatas, A. (2005). Hisse senedi getirileri ve finansal oranlar iliskisi: IMKB'de bir temel analiz arastirmasi. Muhasebe ve Finansman Dergisi, (27), 146-157.
  • Kandir, S. Y., & Inan, H. (2011). Momentum yatirim stratejisinin karliliginin IMKB’de test edilmesi. BDDK Bankacilik ve Finansal Piyasalar, 5(2), 51-70.
  • Keim, D. B. (1983). Size-related anomalies and stock return seasonality: Further empirical evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 12(1), 13-32.
  • Keloharju, M., Linnainmaa, J. T., & Nyberg, P. (2016). Return seasonalities. The Journal of Finance, 71(4), 1557-1590.
  • Lakonishok, J., Shleifer, A., & Vishny, R. W. (1994). Contrarian investment, extrapolation, and risk. The Journal of Finance, 49(5), 1541-1578.
  • Lam, F. Y., Wang, S., & Wei, K. C. (2015). The profitability premium: Macroeconomic risks or expectation errors? Financial Management Association (FMA) 2014 conference, Available at http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.2726027
  • Li, D., & Zhang, L. (2010). Does q-theory with investment frictions explain anomalies in the cross section of returns?. Journal of Financial Economics, 98(2), 297-314.
  • Li, J., & Yu, J. (2012). Investor attention, psychological anchors, and stock return predictability. Journal of Financial Economics, 104(2), 401-419.
  • Liu, M., Liu, Q., & Ma, T., (2011). The 52-week high momentum strategy in international stock markets. Journal of International Money and Finance 30, 180-204.
  • Marshall, B. R., & Cahan, R. M. (2005). Is the 52-week high momentum strategy profitable outside the US?. Applied Financial Economics, 15(18), 1259-1267.
  • Moskowitz, T. J., & Grinblatt, M. (1999). Do industries explain momentum?. The Journal of Finance, 54(4), 1249-1290.
  • Novy-Marx, R. (2013). The other side of value: The gross profitability premium. Journal of Financial Economics, 108(1), 1-28.
  • Roll, R. (1983). Vas ist das?. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 9(2), 18-28.
  • Rosenberg, B., Reid, K., & Lanstein, R. (1985). Persuasive evidence of market inefficiency. The Journal of Portfolio Management, 11(3), 9-16.
  • Stattman, D. (1980). Book values and stock returns. The Chicago MBA: A Journal of Selected Papers, 4(1), 25-45.
  • Sehgal, S., & Subramaniam, S. (2012). An empirical investigation of the profitability anomaly in the Indian stock market. Asian Journal of Finance & Accounting, 4(2), 347-362.
  • Wang, H., & Yu, J. (2013). Dissecting the profitability premium. In AFA 2013 San Diego Meetings Paper.
  • Wahal, S. (2019). The profitability and investment premium: Pre-1963 evidence. Journal of Financial Economics, 131(2), 362-377.
  • Wahal, S. & Repetto, E (2020). The Joint Distribution of Value and Profitability: International Evidence (November 30, 2020). Available at SSRN: https://ssrn.com/abstract=3739571 or http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.3739571.
  • Yao, Y. (2012). Momentum, contrarian, and the January seasonality. Journal of Banking & Finance, 36(10), 2757-2769.
  • Zhong, A., Limkriangkrai, M., & Gray, P. (2014). Anomalies, risk adjustment and seasonality: Australian evidence. International Review of Financial Analysis, 35, 207-218.
There are 60 citations in total.

Details

Primary Language English
Journal Section Research Articles
Authors

Nesrin Özkan 0000-0002-8674-5518

Publication Date July 27, 2021
Submission Date September 5, 2020
Published in Issue Year 2021 Volume: 8 Issue: 2

Cite

APA Özkan, N. (2021). GROSS PROFITABILITY AND 52-WEEK HIGH PRICE. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 8(2), 704-719. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.790900

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