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The Relationship Between High-Income Countries in Middle East and North Africa on Energy Consumption and Increase in Gross Domestic Product

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1, 288 - 309, 31.03.2024
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1282615

Öz

Electricity, which emerged as a secondary energy source, has been one of the important input items in production since its widespread use. In this study, it is analyzed in 7 countries (Bahrain, United Arab Emirates, Israel, Qatar, Qatar, Kuwait, Oman and Saudi Arabia) in the high-income Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries group. Using data on public and commercial services, residential, industrial, total other sectors (agriculture, transportation), total electricity consumed and GDP for the period 1990-2021, the relationship between sectoral electricity consumption and economic growth is analyzed with the Panel Granger causality test. As a result of the analysis, while there is no long-run relationship between public and commercial services, residential, total other sectors (agriculture, transportation) and total electricity consumed and growth, there is no causality relationship between these variables, while there is a unidirectional causality relationship from growth to electricity consumption in industry. Contrary to previous studies, the reason for the absence of a causality relationship from electricity consumption to GDP growth in this study is that export revenues from natural resources and high-tech products make a significant contribution to the GDP formation of the countries included in the analysis. These results show that, contrary to the same directional relationship between electricity consumption and GDP growth in the literature, it is not valid for natural resource and high technology exporter countries. We can say that the results of the study make an important contribution to the literature in this respect.

Kaynakça

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  • Agboola, M. O., Bekun, F. V., & Joshua, U. (2021b). Pathway to environmental sustainability: nexus between economic growth, energy consumption, CO2 emission, oil rent and total natural resources rent in Saudi Arabia. Resources Policy, 74, 102380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.07.050
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Yıl 2024, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1, 288 - 309, 31.03.2024
https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1282615

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Abbas, F., & Choudhury, N. (2013). Electricity consumption-economic growth Nexus: An aggregated and disaggregated causality analysis in India and Pakistan. Journal of Policy Modelling, 35(4), 538-553. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2012.09.001
  • Abdouli, M., & Hammami, S. (2017). Exploring links between FDI ınflows, energy consumption, and economic growth: Further evidence from MENA countrıes. Journal of Economic Development, 42(1), 95 https://doi.org/10.35866/CAUJED.2017.42.1.005
  • Agboola, M. O., Bekun, F. V., & Joshua, U. (2021a). Pathway to environmental sustainability: nexus between economic growth, energy consumption, CO2 emission, oil rent and total natural resources rent in Saudi Arabia. Resources Policy, 74, 102380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resourpol.2021.102380
  • Agboola, M. O., Bekun, F. V., & Joshua, U. (2021b). Pathway to environmental sustainability: nexus between economic growth, energy consumption, CO2 emission, oil rent and total natural resources rent in Saudi Arabia. Resources Policy, 74, 102380. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.07.050
  • Akaike, H. (1974). A new look at the statistical model identification. IEEE transactions on Automatic Control, 19, 716-723.
  • Akarca, A. T., & Long, T. V. (1980). On the relationship between energy and GNP: a reexamination. The Journal of Energy and Development, 5(2), 326-331.
  • Al-Kasasbeh, O., Khasawneh, O. A. H., & Alzghoul, A. (2023). The Nexus between renewable energy consumption and economic growth: Empirical evidence from Jordan. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 13(2), 194-199. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.14007
  • Apergis, N., & Payne, J. E. (2011). A dynamic panel study of economic development and the electricity consumption-growth nexus. Energy Economics, 33(5), 770-781. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2010.12.018
  • Azam, A., Rafiq, M., Shafique, M., Zhang, H., Ateeq, M., & Yuan, J. (2021). Analyzing the relationship between economic growth and electricity consumption from renewable and non-renewable sources: Fresh evidence from newly industrialized countries. Sustainable Energy Technologies and Assessments, 44, 100991. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.seta.2021.100991
  • Başar, S., Tosun, B., & Bartik, A. (2020). Türkiye’de büyüme ve sektörel bazda elektrik tüketimi arasındaki ilişki. Atatürk Üniversitesi İktisadi Ve İdari Bilimler Dergisi, 34(3), 1089-1109. https://doi.org/10.16951/atauniiibd.724638
  • Baydoun, H., & Aga, M. (2021). The effect of energy consumption and economic growth on environmental sustainability in the GCC countries: does financial development matter?. Energies, 14(18), 5897. https://doi.org/10.3390/en14185897
  • Belal, I. A. M., Ahmed, S. A. K., & Boujedra, F. H. (2021). The causal relationship between, electricity consumption and economic growth in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia: a dynamic causality test. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 11(1), 333-340. . https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.10488.
  • Bernard, O. A., & Kenneth, O. O. (2016). Sectoral consumption of non-renewable energy and economic growth in Nigeria. International Journal of Research in Management, Economics and Commerce, 6(7), 15-22.
  • Bowden, N., & Payne, J. E. (2009). The causal relationship between U.S. energy consumption and real output: A disaggregated analysis. Journal of Policy Modelling, 31(2), 180-188. . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jpolmod.2008.09.001
  • Breitung, J. (2000). The local power of some unit root tests for panel data. In Advances in Econometrics, Volume 15. Nonstationary Panels, Panel Cointegration, and Dynamic Panels, ed. B. H. Baltagi, 161-178. Amsterdam: JAI Press.
  • Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1980). The Lagrange multiplier test and its applications to model specification in econometrics. The Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253. https://doi.org/ 10.2307/2297111
  • Bulut, M. (2020). Sektörel enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi (Master's thesis). Nevşehir Hacıbektaşı Veli Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü, Ankara.
  • Burbridge, J., & Harrison, A. (1984). Testing for the effects of oil price rises using vector autoregression. International Economic Review, 25, 459-484. https://doi.org/10.2307/2526209
  • Common, M., & Stagl, S. (2005). Ecological economics: An ıntroduction. New York: Cambridge University Press, http://books.google.com.tr.
  • Çadırcı, B. D., & Güner, B. (2020). Türkiye’de iller bazında sektörel elektrik tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Panel ARDL sınır testi yaklaşımı. Mehmet Akif Ersoy Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Enstitüsü Dergisi, 31, 41-60. https://doi.org/10.20875/makusobed.596894
  • Chandio, A. A., Jiang, Y., Ahmad, F., Akram, W., Ali, S., & Rauf, A. (2020). Investigating the long-run interaction between electricity consumption, foreign investment, and economic progress in Pakistan: evidence from VECM approach. Environmental Science and Pollution Research, 27, 25664-25674. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-020-08966-z
  • Common, M., & Stagl, S. (2005). Ecological economics: An ıntroduction. New York: Cambridge University Press, retrieved July 17,2014 http://books.google.com.tr.
  • Dickey, D. A., & Fuller, W. A. (1979). Distribution of the estimators for autoregressive time series with a unit root. Journal of the American statistical association, 74(366a), 427-431. https://doi.org/10.1080/01621459.1979.10482531
  • Dunkerley, J. (1982). Estimating energy demand: The developing countries. Energy Journal, 23, 79-99. https://doi.org/10.5547/ISSN0195-6574-EJ-Vol3-No2-5
  • Ebohon, O.J. (1996). Energy, economic growth and causality in developing countries: A case study of Tanzania and Nigeria, Energy Policy, 24, 447-453. . https://doi.org/10.1016/0301-4215(96)00027-4
  • Fan, W., & Hao, Y. (2020). An empirical research on the relationship amongst renewable energy consumption, economic growth and foreign direct investment in China. Renewable energy, 146, 598-609. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.renene.2019.06.170
  • Ferguson, R., Wilkinson, W., & Hill, R. (2000). Electricity use and economic development. Energy Policy, 28(13), 923-934. . https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(00)00081-1
  • Fernandes, K. (2023). A sectoral approach to the energy consumption-economic growth nexus for select Asian countries. International Journal of the Energy-Growth Nexus, 1(1), 23-39. . https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEGN.2023.135297
  • Ghosh, S. (2002). Electricity consumption and economic growth in India. Energy Policy, 30, 125-129. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0301-4215(01)00078-7
  • Gross, C. (2012). Explaining the (non-) causality between energy and economic growth in the U.S.—A multivariate sectoral analysis. Energy Economics, 34, 489–499. . https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2011.12.002
  • Hadri, K. (2000). Testing for stationarity in heterogeneous panel data. Econometrics Journal 3, 148-161. https://doi.org/10.1111/1368-423X.00043
  • Hamdi, H., Sbia, R., & Shahbaz, M. (2014). The nexus between electricity consumption and economic growth in Bahrain. Economic Modelling, 38, 227-237. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.econmod.2013.12.012
  • Hamilton, J. D. (1983). Oil and the macroeconomy since World War II. Journal of Political Economy, 91, 228-248. https://doi.org/10.1086/261140
  • Hızarcı, A. E., & Zeren, F. (2020). The nexus between electricity consumption and financial development: Further evidence from G-20 countries. The Electricity Journal, 33(6), 106776. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tej.2020.106776
  • Im, K. S., Pesaran, M.H., & Shin Y. (2003). Testing for unit roots in heterogeneous panels. Journal of Econometrics 115, 53-74. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0304-4076(03)00092-7
  • Jobert, T., & Karanfil, F. (2007). Sectoral energy consumption by source and economic growth in Turkey. Energy Policy, 35(11), 5447-5456. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.05.008
  • Kar, M., & Kınık, E. (2008). Türkiye'de elektrik tüketimi çeşitleri ve ekonomik büyüme arasındaki ilişkinin ekonometrik bir analizi. Afyon Kocatepe Üniversitesi, İ.İ.B.F. Dergisi, 10(2), 333-353.
  • Karanfil, F., & Li, Y. (2015). Electricity consumption and economic growth: Exploring panel- specific differences. Energy Policy, 82, 264–277. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2014.12.001
  • Kayıkçı, F., & Bildirici, M. (2015). Economic growth and electricity consumption in GCC and MENA countries. South African Journal of Economics, 83(2), 303-316. https://doi.org/10.1111/saje.12061
  • Kim, Y. S. (2015). Electricity consumption and economic development: Are countries converging to a common trend? Energy Economics, 48, 192-202. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.eneco.2015.02.001
  • Koç, S., & Saidmurodov, S. (2018). Orta Asya ülkelerinde elektrik enerjisi, doğrudan yabancı yatırımı ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi. Ege Akademik Bakış, 18(2), 321-328. https://doi.org/10.21121/eab.2018237358
  • Coach, U. (2020). Sektörel enerji tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme. Third Sector Social Economic Review, 55(1), 508-521. https://doi.org/10.15659/3.sektor-sosyal-ekonomi.20.03.1289
  • Kraft, J., & Kraft, A. (1978). On the relationship between energy and GNP. The Journal of Energy and Development, 3(2),401-403.
  • Lee, C. (2006). The causality relationship between energy consumption and GDP in G-11 countries revisited. Energy Policy, 34, 1086–1093. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.04.023
  • Maksimovica, G., Milosavljevic, V., Cirkovic, B., Milosevic, B., Jovic, S., & Alizamir, M. (2017). Analysing of economic growth based on electricity consumption from different sources. Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, 484(C), 37-40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.
  • Mohammed Shameem P, Muhammed Ashiq Villanthenkodath & Krishna Reddy Chittedi (2022) Economic growth and sectoral level electricity consumption nexus in India: new evidence from combined cointegration and frequency domain causality approaches, International Journal of Sustainable Energy, 41:11, 1721-1738, https://doi.org/10.1080/14786451.2022.2095386
  • Narayan, P. K., Narayan, S., & Popp, S. (2010). Does electricity consumption panel Granger cause GDP? A new global evidence. Applied Energy, 87(10), 3294-3298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apenergy.2010.03.021
  • Narayan, P. K., & Prasad, A. (2008). Electricity consumption-real GDP causality nexus: Evidence from a Bootstrapped Causality Test for 30 OECD countries. Energy Policy, 36, 910–918. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2007.10.017
  • Osman, M., Gachino, G., & Hoque, A. (2016). Electricity consumption and economic growth in GCC countries: Pane data analysis. Energy Policy, 98, 318–327. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2016.07.050
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2007). A simple panel unit root test in the presence of cross‐section dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22(2), 265-312. https://doi.org/10.1002/jae.951
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., & Yamagata, T. (2008). A bias‐adjusted LM test of error cross‐section independence. The Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1368-423X.2007.00227.x
  • Saidi, S., Shahbaz, M., & Akhtar, P. (2018). The long-run Relationships Between Transport Energy Consumption, Transport Infrastructure, and Economic Growth in MENA Countries. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 111, 78-95. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2018.03.013
  • Saidi, H., Montasser, G., E., & Doytch, N. (2022) The interplay between financial development, electricity consumption and foreign direct investment in the GCC countries: new insights from GMM panel VAR,Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning, and Policy, 17:1,. https://doi.org/10.1080/15567249.2022.2136875
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  • Soytas, U., & Sari, R. (2003). Energy consumption and GDP: causality relationship in G-7 and emerging markets. Energy Economics, 25, 33–37. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-9883(02)00009-9
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  • Terzi, H. (1998). Türkiye'de elektrik tüketimi ve ekonomik büyüme ilişkisi: Sektörel bir karşılaştırma. İktisat, İşletme ve Finans, 13(144), 62-71. doi: 10.3848/iif.1998.144.4020
  • Usta, C., & Berber, M. (2017). Türkiye’de enerji tüketimi ekonomik büyüme ilişkisinin sektörel analizi. Ekonomik ve Sosyal Araştırmalar Dergisi, 13(1), 173-187.
  • Westerlund, J. (2007). Testing for Error Correction in Panel Data. Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 69(6): 709-748. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-0084.2007.00477.x
  • World Bank. (2024). World Development Indicators on CD-ROM. Washington, DC. Access: https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/ 18.Feb.2024.
  • Yerdelen T. F. (2017), Panel zaman serileri analizi stata uygulamalı, Ankara: Beta Yayın Evi.
  • Yilmaz, E., & Sensoy, F. (2022a). Effects of Fossil Fuel Usage in Electricity Production on CO2 Emissions: A STIRPAT Model Application on 20 Selected Countries. International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, 12(6), 224–229. https://doi.org/10.32479/ijeep.13707
  • Yilmaz, E., Sensoy, F., (2022b). The relationship between growth and exports: what if the impact is negative? Evidence form Turkey. Journal of Economics, Finance and Accounting (JEFA), 9(3), 104-112. https://doi.org/10.17261/Pressacademia.2022.1619 Yoo, S. (2005). Electricity consumption and economic growth: Evidence from Korea. Energy Policy, 33, 1627–1632. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2004.02.002 Yoo, S. H. (2006). The causal relationship between electricity consumption and economic growth in the ASEAN countries. Energy Policy, 34(18), 3573-3582. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enpol.2005.07.011
Toplam 68 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Panel Veri Analizi , Yeşil Ekonomi
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Mehmet Ataş 0000-0003-2531-3364

İdris Sarısoy 0000-0002-6682-1958

Fikriye Ceren Bostancı 0000-0001-8291-062X

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 29 Mart 2024
Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Mart 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 13 Nisan 2023
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Ataş, M., Sarısoy, İ., & Bostancı, F. C. (2024). The Relationship Between High-Income Countries in Middle East and North Africa on Energy Consumption and Increase in Gross Domestic Product. Journal of Mehmet Akif Ersoy University Economics and Administrative Sciences Faculty, 11(1), 288-309. https://doi.org/10.30798/makuiibf.1282615