BibTex RIS Kaynak Göster

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Yıl 2015, Sayı: 31, 366 - 397, 27.01.2015
https://doi.org/10.14781/mcd.83405

Öz

Disasters cause great disruption for human, environment and assets. To mitigate or reduce the impact of disasters; hazard, vulnerability, and risk analysis are performed within the risk management activities. Disaster management generally occurs in four successive stages. Damage mitigation and preparedness stages for pre-disaster, response and recovery stages for postdisaster interact with one another. Success in disaster management depends on successfully realization of the activities that are performed in the disaster cycle. Disaster risk management contains activities such as hazard, vulnerability, risk assessment, and analysis. Disaster hazard is a natural or human originated event; vulnerability is the features and situations of a society that cause exposure to the harming impacts of a hazard event. The composition of the disaster hazard and vulnerability expose the risk of disaster. Some disaster hazard such as following the earthquake landslide, floods, and fire can occur together and can trigger each other. Similarly more than one disaster can be seen together and that exposes the multi-hazard risk situations. In order to manage the disaster risks data requirement, hazard and vulnerability analysis must be performed first. Also an integrated approach is required for disaster. For this purpose, in this study data requirement analysis was performed for the analysis of very common disasters in Turkey such as landslides, fire, forest fire, flood and earthquake

Kaynakça

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  • AFAD (2012). Afet risk yönetimi. 5 Aralık Pazartesi, 2014 tarihinde https://www.afad.gov.tr adresinden alındı
  • Albano, R., Pascale, S., Sdao, F. ve Sole, A. (2013). A GIS Model for Systemic Vulnerability Assessment in Urbanized Areas Supporting the Landslide Risk Management. In Landslide Science Heidelberg. 723-731). SpringerBerlin
  • Amatulli, G., Peréz-Cabello, F. ve de la Riva, J. (2007). Mapping lightning/human-caused wildfires occurrence under ignition point location uncertainty. Ecological modelling, 200(3), 321- 333.
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  • Armaș, I. ve Gavriș, A. (2013). Social vulnerability assessment using spatial multi-criteria analysis (SEVI model) and the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI model)–a case study for Bucharest, Romania. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 13(6), 1481-1499.
  • Ayalew, L. ve Yamagishi, H. (2005). The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda– Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan. Geomorphology 65, 15–31.
  • Aydınoğlu, A. Ç. (2009). Türkiye için Coğrafi Veri Değişim Modelinin Geliştirilmesi. DoktoraTezi, KTÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Trabzon.
  • Bednarik, M., Yilmaz, I. ve Marschalko, M. (2012). Landslide hazard and risk assessment: a case study from the Hlohovec–Sered landslide area in south-west Slovakia. Natural hazards, 64(1), 547-575.
  • Bhatt, B. P., Awasthi, K. D., Heyojoo, B. P., Silwal, T. ve Kafle, G. (2013). Using Geographic Information System and Analytical Hierarchy Process in Landslide Hazard Zonation. Applied Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 1(2), 14-22.
  • Boore, D. M. (2004) Can site response be predicted. Journal of Earthquake Engineering 8(Special Issue 1):1–41.
  • Brodsky, H. ve A. S. Hakkert (1988). Risk of a road accident in rainy weather. Accident Analysis & Prevention 20(3): 161-176.
  • Bühler, M., de Torres Curth, M. ve Garibaldi, L. A. (2013). Demography and socioeconomic vulnerability influence fire occurrence in Bariloche (Argentina). Landscape and Urban Planning, 110, 64-73.
  • Cardona, O. D., Van Aalst, M. K., Birkmann, J., Fordham, M., McGregor, G., Perez, R. ve Sinh, B. T. (2012). Determinants of risk: exposure and vulnerability. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation, 65- 108.
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ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ

Yıl 2015, Sayı: 31, 366 - 397, 27.01.2015
https://doi.org/10.14781/mcd.83405

Öz

ÖZET

Afetler, insanlara, insanların sahip olduğu mal varlıklarına ve çevreye büyük çapta yıkıma neden olurlar. Bu yıkımları ortadan kaldırmak veya yıkımların etkilerini azaltmak için yapılacak çalışmalar afet yönetimi çerçevesinde gerçekleştirilir. Afet yönetimi genel anlamda birbirini takip eden dört aşamada gerçekleşmektedir.  Afet gerçekleşmeden önceki dönemde zarar azaltma ve hazırlık, afet gerçekleştikten sonraki dönem için müdahale ve iyileştirme aşamaları etkileşim halindedir. Afet yönetiminin başarılı olması, afet döngüsü içindeki aktivitelerin başarıyla yapılmasına bağlıdır. Afet risk yönetimi, tehlike ve zarar görebilirlik ile risk analiz çalışmaları gibi unsurları içermektedir.

Afet tehlikesi doğal veya insan kökenli bir olay iken, zarar görebilirlik insanların veya malvarlıklarının tehlikelere maruz kalmasına sebep olan çeşitli nitelikleridir. Tehlike ve zarar görebilirliğin bileşimi afet riskini ortaya çıkarmaktadır. Bazı afet tehlikeleri bir arada görülebilmekte-depremi takip eden heyelanlar, yangınlar ve seller gibi- afetler birbirini tetikleyebilmektedir. Buna benzer şekilde bir alanda birden fazla afetin bir arada görülmesi çoklu afet riski durumunu ortaya çıkarmaktadır. Afet risklerinin yönetilebilmesi için öncelikle tehlike, zarar görebilirlik analizleri ve veri gereksinimi analizlerinin yapılması gereklidir. Ayrıca bu afetlere bütüncül bir yaklaşım gerekmektedir. Böylelikle bu çalışmada, Türkiye’de en çok görülen deprem, sel, heyelan, yangın, orman yangını gibi afet türleri için tehlike ve zarar görebilirlik analizine yönelik veri gereksinimi analizleri yapılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler: Afet riski, tehlike ve zarar görebilirlik, veri gereksinimi analizi

 

ABSTRACT

Disasters cause great disruption for human, environment and assets. To mitigate or reduce the impact of disasters; hazard, vulnerability, and risk analysis are performed within the risk management activities. Disaster management generally occurs in four successive stages. Damage mitigation and preparedness stages for pre-disaster, response and recovery stages for post-disaster interact with one another. Success in disaster management depends on successfully realization of the activities that are performed in the disaster cycle. Disaster risk management contains activities such as hazard, vulnerability, risk assessment, and analysis.

Disaster hazard is a natural or human originated event; vulnerability is the features and situations of a society that cause exposure to the harming impacts of a hazard event. The composition of the disaster hazard and vulnerability expose the risk of disaster. Some disaster hazard such as following the earthquake landslide, floods, and fire can occur together and can trigger each other. Similarly more than one disaster can be seen together and that exposes the multi-hazard risk situations. In order to manage the disaster risks data requirement, hazard and vulnerability analysis must be performed first. Also an integrated approach is required for disaster.  For this purpose, in this study data requirement analysis was performed for the analysis of very common disasters in Turkey such as landslides, fire, forest fire, flood and earthquake.

Keywords: Disaster risk, hazard and vulnerability, data requirement analysis

Kaynakça

  • Abella, E. C. ve Van VanWesten, C. J. (2007). Generation of a landslide risk index map for Cuba using spatial multi-criteria evaluation. Landslides, 4(4), 311-325.
  • Adab, H., Kanniah, K. D. ve Solaimani, K. (2013). Modeling forest fire risk in the northeast of Iran using remote sensing and GIS techniques. Natural hazards,65(3), 1723-1743.
  • AFAD (2012). Afet risk yönetimi. 5 Aralık Pazartesi, 2014 tarihinde https://www.afad.gov.tr adresinden alındı
  • Albano, R., Pascale, S., Sdao, F. ve Sole, A. (2013). A GIS Model for Systemic Vulnerability Assessment in Urbanized Areas Supporting the Landslide Risk Management. In Landslide Science Heidelberg. 723-731). SpringerBerlin
  • Amatulli, G., Peréz-Cabello, F. ve de la Riva, J. (2007). Mapping lightning/human-caused wildfires occurrence under ignition point location uncertainty. Ecological modelling, 200(3), 321- 333.
  • Andreescu M. P. ve Frost D. B. (1998). Weather and traffic accidents in Montreal, 10.3354/cr009225. Clim
  • Res.9:225–230. doi:
  • Armaș, I. ve Gavriș, A. (2013). Social vulnerability assessment using spatial multi-criteria analysis (SEVI model) and the Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI model)–a case study for Bucharest, Romania. Natural Hazards and Earth System Science, 13(6), 1481-1499.
  • Ayalew, L. ve Yamagishi, H. (2005). The application of GIS-based logistic regression for landslide susceptibility mapping in the Kakuda– Yahiko Mountains, Central Japan. Geomorphology 65, 15–31.
  • Aydınoğlu, A. Ç. (2009). Türkiye için Coğrafi Veri Değişim Modelinin Geliştirilmesi. DoktoraTezi, KTÜ Fen Bilimleri Enstitüsü, Trabzon.
  • Bednarik, M., Yilmaz, I. ve Marschalko, M. (2012). Landslide hazard and risk assessment: a case study from the Hlohovec–Sered landslide area in south-west Slovakia. Natural hazards, 64(1), 547-575.
  • Bhatt, B. P., Awasthi, K. D., Heyojoo, B. P., Silwal, T. ve Kafle, G. (2013). Using Geographic Information System and Analytical Hierarchy Process in Landslide Hazard Zonation. Applied Ecology and Environmental Sciences, 1(2), 14-22.
  • Boore, D. M. (2004) Can site response be predicted. Journal of Earthquake Engineering 8(Special Issue 1):1–41.
  • Brodsky, H. ve A. S. Hakkert (1988). Risk of a road accident in rainy weather. Accident Analysis & Prevention 20(3): 161-176.
  • Bühler, M., de Torres Curth, M. ve Garibaldi, L. A. (2013). Demography and socioeconomic vulnerability influence fire occurrence in Bariloche (Argentina). Landscape and Urban Planning, 110, 64-73.
  • Cardona, O. D., Van Aalst, M. K., Birkmann, J., Fordham, M., McGregor, G., Perez, R. ve Sinh, B. T. (2012). Determinants of risk: exposure and vulnerability. Managing the risks of extreme events and disasters to advance climate change adaptation, 65- 108.
  • Chen, K., Blong, R. ve Jacobson, C. (2003). Towards an integrated approach to natural hazards risk assessment using GIS: with reference to bushfires. Environmental Management, 31(4), 0546-0560.
  • Chuvieco, E., Salas, F. J., Carvacho, L. ve Rodriguez-Silva, F. (1999). Integrated fire risk mapping.In. Remote Sensing of Large Wildfires (pp. 61-100).Springer Berlin Heidelberg.
  • Cutter, S. L., Boruff, B. J. ve Shirley, W. L. (2003). Social vulnerability to environmental hazards. Social science quarterly, 84(2), 242- 261.
  • Cutter, S. L. Mitchell, J. T. ve S., S. M. (2000). Revealing the vulnerability of people and places: A case study of Georgetown County, South Carolina. Annals of the Association of American Geographers (90(4)), 713-737.
  • Çan, T., Duman, T. Y., Olgun, Ş., Çörekçioğlu, Ş., Karakaya Gülmez, F., Elmacı, H., Hamzaçebi, S. ve Emre, Ö. (2013). Türkiye Heyelan Veri Tabanı. TMMOB Coğrafi Bilgi Sistemleri Kongresi 2013.
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  • URL-1: www. mgm. gov.tr
  • URL-2: http://arifcagdas.com/adys
  • URL-3:http://www.eu-orchestra.org/TUs/Pilots/en/text/Pilots.pdf 21/11/2014
Toplam 91 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil tr;
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Bekir Taştan

Yayımlanma Tarihi 27 Ocak 2015
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2015 Sayı: 31

Kaynak Göster

APA Taştan, B. (2015). ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi(31), 366-397. https://doi.org/10.14781/mcd.83405
AMA Taştan B. ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi. Ocak 2015;(31):366-397. doi:10.14781/mcd.83405
Chicago Taştan, Bekir. “ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ”. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 31 (Ocak 2015): 366-97. https://doi.org/10.14781/mcd.83405.
EndNote Taştan B (01 Ocak 2015) ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi 31 366–397.
IEEE B. Taştan, “ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ”, Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 31, ss. 366–397, Ocak 2015, doi: 10.14781/mcd.83405.
ISNAD Taştan, Bekir. “ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ”. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi 31 (Ocak 2015), 366-397. https://doi.org/10.14781/mcd.83405.
JAMA Taştan B. ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi. 2015;:366–397.
MLA Taştan, Bekir. “ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ”. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi, sy. 31, 2015, ss. 366-97, doi:10.14781/mcd.83405.
Vancouver Taştan B. ÇOKLU AFET RİSK YÖNETİMİNDE TEHLİKE VE ZARAR GÖREBİLİRLİK BELİRLENMESİ İÇİN GEREKSİNİM ANALİZİ. Marmara Coğrafya Dergisi. 2015(31):366-97.

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