The Relationship between CO2 Emission, Non-Renewable Energy Consumption and Economic Growth: A Case of Turkey

Yıl 2020, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 2, 844 - 857, 24.04.2020

Kemal Erkişi , Duygu Çelik

https://doi.org/10.33206/mjss.509570

Cited By: 3

Öz

In this study, the relationships between carbon dioxide emission, non-renewable energy consumption and economic growth were examined. The analysis covers 25 years of period between 1990-2015 for Turkey. VAR Granger Causality Analysis was employed for the short-term causality analysis. The results indicated that there is a unidirectional relationship from non-renewable energy consumption to CO2 emission in the short-term. The only variable affecting CO2 in the short-term is non-renewable energy consumption. According to the variance decomposition test, in the second period, 13.8% of CO2 emissions were caused by non-renewable energy consumption, 2% was due to economic growth, while in the 8th period, 44% of CO2 emissions were caused by non-renewable energy consumption and 12% from economic growth. This result supports the “Neutrality Hypothesis”, which asserts that there is no direct relationship between energy consumption and economic growth. Since it is revealed a unidirectional causality from NREC to CO2, measures regarding energy consumption will not have a negative impact on economic growth while reducing carbon dioxide emissions in Turkey.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Carbon dioxide emission, CO2 emission, Non-renewable energy consumption, economic growth

CO2 Emisyonu, Yenilenmeyen Enerji Tüketimi ve Ekonomik Büyüme Arasındaki İlişki: Türkiye Örneği

Öz

Bu çalışmada karbondioksit salınımı, yenilenemeyen enerji tüketimi ve iktisadi büyüme arasındaki ilişkiler incelenmiştir. Analiz, Türkiye için 1990-2015 arasındaki 25 yılı kapsamaktadır. Kısa dönem nedensellik analiz için VAR Granger Nedensellik Analizi kullanılmıştır. Buna göre kısa dönemde yenilenemeyen enerji tüketiminden, CO2 salınımına doğru tek yönlü pozitif bir ilişki olduğu ortaya konmuştur. Kısa dönemde CO2 salınımını etkileyen tek değişken yenilenemeyen enerji tüketimidir. Varyans ayrıştırma testi sonucuna göre, ikinci dönemde, CO2 salınımının % 13,8'i yenilenemeyen enerji tüketiminden, % 2'si ekonomik büyümeden kaynaklanırken, 8. dönemde, CO2 salınımının % 44’ü yenilenmeyen enerji tüketiminden ve % 12'si iktisadi büyümeden kaynaklandığı görülmektedir. Bu sonuç, enerji tüketimi ile ekonomik büyüme arasında doğrudan bir ilişki olmadığını öne süren “Tarafsızlık Hipotezini” desteklemektedir. Buna göre enerji tüketimi ile iktisadi büyüme arasında bir ilişki olmadığından, enerji tüketimi ile ilgili alınacak tedbirler karbondioksit salınımını azaltırken iktisadi büyüme üzerinde olumsuz bir etki doğurmayacaktır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Karbon dioksit salınımı, CO2 salınımı, Yenilenemeyen enerji tüketimi, İktisadi büyüme

Kaynakça

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