GİRİŞİMCİLİK İLE EKONOMİK İSTİKRAR ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİNİN BELİRLENMESİ: TÜRKİYE ÖRNEĞİ

Yıl 2017, Cilt: 14 Sayı: 40, 295 - 308, 28.12.2017

Özden Akın , Metin Reyhanoğlu , Ünal Arslan , Arif Eser Güzel

Öz

Girişimcilik ve ekonomik istikrar uzun dönemde etkileşim
içerisinde olabilen iki değişkendir. Bir ülkedeki ekonomik istikrarın varlığı
girişimcilere öngörülü olma, risk alma ve yenilik yapabilme fırsatı
vermektedir. Bu çalışmanın amacı, Türkiye’de ekonomik istikrar ve girişimcilik
arasındaki ilişkiyi ortaya koymaktır. Bu amaç çerçevesinde bağımlı değişken
olan girişimcilik ve bağımsız değişken olan makroekonomik istikrar arasındaki
ilişki Türkiye için ampirik olarak test edilmiştir. Türkiye Odalar ve Borsalar
Birliğinin yeni kurulan işletme sayısı aylık veri olarak alınmıştır. Ekonomik
istikrarı belirlemek için, parasal istikrar (Tüketici Fiyat İndeksi) ve genel
bütçe dengesi olmak üzere iki bağımsız değişken kullanılmıştır. Analiz sonucuna
göre, parasal istikrar ile girişimcilik arasında uzun dönemli bir eş bütünleşme
ilişkisi vardır. ARDL eş bütünleşme analizine göre kısa dönemli nedensellik
ilişkisi parasal istikrardan girişimciliğe doğrudur. Mali istikrar ve
girişimcilik arasındaki ilişkiye bakıldığında ise nedenselliğin yönü genel
bütçe dengesinden girişimciliğe doğrudur. Analizde Granger nedensellik analizi kullanılmıştır.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Girişimcilik, Ekonomik İstikrar, Yeni Kurulan İşletme, Parasal İstikrar

Kaynakça

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