Araştırma Makalesi
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An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 817 - 826, 15.06.2021
https://doi.org/10.18586/msufbd.899411

Öz

A comprehensive assessment of aftershocks occurrence for the November 26th, 2019 earthquake, ML=6.3, 16 km north of Durrës, Albania was achieved. b-value was estimated as 0.88 ±0.07. b-value is close to 1.0 and relatively small b-value may be resulted from the plenty of larger aftershocks with ML4.0. p-value was calculated as 1.23±0.08 with Mmin=3.1 and Tstart=0.0034 days. This high p-value may be a result of the relative fast decay rate of aftershock activity. Dc-value was calculated as 1.74±0.09 and it means that aftershocks are homogeneously distributed at larger scales. The smallest b-values and the largest p-values were observed in the north, northwest and northeast parts of the mainshock. The smaller b-values correlate with the larger stress variations, whereas the larger p-values are related to the maximum slip after mainshock. Consequently, region-time-magnitude analyses of the aftershocks occurrence may supply important clues for the fast evaluations of real time aftershock hazard.

Teşekkür

The authors would like to thank to reviewers for their useful and constructive suggestions in improving this paper. The new release of ZMAP software is freely available (version 7, https://github.com/zmap/zmap). We are grateful to Albanian Seismological Stations, Montenegro Seismological Stations and from INGV, MEDNET, and AUTH networks for providing us aftershock catalog.

Kaynakça

  • Sulstarova E., Koçiaj S. The Albania Earthquake Catalog. Edition of Academy of Sciences of Albania, 1975.
  • Sulstarova E., Kociaj S., Aliaj Sh. Seismic regionalization of PSR of Albania. Publishing House of “8 Nentori” Tirana, 1-297, 1980.
  • Jolivet L. Faccenna C. Mediterranean extension and the Africa-Eurasia collision, Tectonophysics, 19:6 1095-1106, 2000.
  • Aliaj Sh., Sulstarova E., Muço B., Koçiu S. Seismotectonic map of Albania at the scale 1:500.000, Instituti i Sizmologjisë Tiranë, 2000.
  • Aliaj Sh., Koçiu S., Muço B., Sulstarova E. Seismicity, seismotectonic and seismic hazard assessment in Albania, Published by Albanian Academy of Sciences, 2010.
  • Aliaj Sh., Meço S. Neotectonics map of Albania at the scale 1:200.000, Albanian Geological Survey, Tirana, 2018.
  • Ormeni Rr., Hoxha I., Naco P., Dashamir G. The strong earthquake of 26 November 2019 (Mw 6.4) and its associate active tectonic of Durresi region in Albania, European Geosciences Union, General Assambly, (EGU2020), Vienna, Austria, 2020.
  • Öztürk S., Şahin Ş. A statistical space-time-magnitude analysis on the aftershocks occurrence of the July 21th, 2017 MW=6.5 Bodrum-Kos, Turkey, earthquake, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 172 443-457, 2019.
  • Ranalli G.A Statistical Study of Aftershock Sequences, Annals of Geophysics, 22 359-397, 1969.
  • Wiemer S., Katsumata K. Spatial variability of seismicity parameters in aftershock zones, J. Geophys. Res., 104:B6 13135-13151, 1999.
  • Ogata Y. Increased probability of large earthquakes near aftershock regions with relative quiescence, J. Geophys. Res., 106 8729-8744, 2001.
  • Polat O., Eyidogan H., Haessler H., Cisternas A., Philip H. Analysis and interpretation of the aftershock sequence of the August 17, 1999, Izmit (Turkey) earthquake, Journal of Seismology, 6 287-306, 2002.
  • Bayrak Y., Öztürk S. Spatial and temporal variations of the aftershock sequences of the 1999 İzmit and Düzce earthquakes, Earth Planets and Space, 56:10 933-944, 2004.
  • Öztürk S., Çınar H., Bayrak Y., Karslı H., Daniel G. Properties of Aftershock Sequence of the 2003 Bingöl, MD=6.4, (Turkey) Earthquake, Pure and Applied Geophysics, 165:2 349-371, 2008.
  • Enescu B., Enescu D., Ito K. Values of b and p: Their variations and relation to physical processes for Earthquakes in Japan and Romania, Romanian Journal of Physics, 56:3-4 590-608, 2011.
  • Zhang S., Wang G., Sa W. Damage evaluation of concrete gravity dams under mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 50 16-27, 2013.
  • Nemati M. An appraisal of aftershocks behavior for large earthquakes in Persia, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 79 432-440, 2014.
  • Ávila-Barrientos L., Zúñiga F.R., Rodríguez-Perez Q., Guzmán-Speziale M. Variation of b and p values from aftershocks sequences along the Mexican subduction zone and their relation to plate characteristics, Journal of South American Earth Sciences, 63 162-171, 2015.
  • Ansari S. Aftershocks properties of the 2013 Shonbe Mw 6.3 earthquake, central Zagros, Iran, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 147 17-27, 2017.
  • Ormeni Rr., Öztürk S. a statistical analysis on the aftershock sequence for July 3rd, 2017, border region of Macedonia-Albania (ML=5.0) earthquake: Aftershock probability evaluation, Journal of Natural and Technical Sciences, XXIII(47) 95-110, 2018.
  • Ormeni Rr., Öztürk S. An appraisal on the aftershock characteristics of the July 4, 2018 earthquake, ML=5.1, near Durrës, Albania, Journal of Natural and Technical Sciences, XXIV(48) 27-44, 2019.
  • Nanjo K.Z. Were changes in stress state responsible for the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes? Nature Communications, 11 3082, 2020.
  • Utsu T.A Statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks, Geophys. Mag., 30 521-605, Tokyo, Japan, 1961.
  • Gutenberg R., Richter C.F. Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 34 185-188, 1944.
  • Öncel A.O, Main I., Alptekin A., Cowie P. Spatial variations of the fractal properties of seismicity in the Anatolian fault zones, Tectonophysics, 257 189-202, 1996.
  • Wiemer S.A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP, Seismol. Res. Lett., 72:2 373-382, 2001.
  • Ormeni Rr. Structure of P, S seismic wave velocities of the Albanian earth lithospheres and its seismoactive features, Kumi publications, Tirana, 2010.
  • Klein F.W. User’s guide to HYPOINVERSE-2000, a Fortran program to solve for earthquake locations and magnitudes, U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, 2002.
  • Grassberger P., Procaccia I. Measuring the strangeness of strange attractors, Physics, D9 189-208, 1983.
  • Utsu T., Ogata Y., Matsu’ura R.S. The centenary of the Omori formula for decay law of aftershock activity, J. Phys. Earth, 43 1-33, 1995.
  • Utsu T. Aftershock and earthquake statistic (III): Analyses of the distribution of earthquakes in magnitude, time and space with special consideration to clustering characteristics of earthquake occurrence (1), J. Faculty Sci., Hokkaido University, Ser., VII (Geophys.) 3 379-441, 1971.
  • Frohlich C., Davis S. Teleseismic b-values: Or, much ado about 1.0, J. Geophys. Res., 98:B1 631-644, 1993.
  • Hirata T. Aftershock sequence of the earthquake off Shikotan Island on January 29, 1968, Geophys. Bull. Hokkaido Univ., 21 33-43, 1969.
  • Öncel A.O., Wilson T.H. Space-time correlations of seismotectonic parameters and examples from Japan and Turkey preceding the İzmit earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92 339-350, 2002.
  • Polat O., Gok E., Yılmaz D. Earthquake hazard of the Aegean Extension region (West Turkey), Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences, 17 593-614, 2008.
  • Wiemer S., Wyss M. Minimum magnitude of completeness in earthquake catalogs: Examples from Alaska, the Western United States, and Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 90:3 859-869, 2000.
  • Ogata Y. Estimation of the parameters in the modified Omori formula for aftershock frequencies by the maximum likelihood procedure, J. Phys. Earth., 31 115-124, 1983.
  • Aki, K. Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula logN =a-bM and its confidence limits, Bull. Earthquake Res. Inst., Tokyo University, 43 237-239, 1965.
  • Helmstetter A., Shaw B. Relation between stress heterogeneity and aftershock rate in the rate-and-state model, J. Geophys. Res., 111 B07304, 2006.
  • Peng Z., Vidale J.E., Ishii M., Helmstetter A. Seismicity rate immediately before and after mainshock rupture from high-frequency waveforms in Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 112 B03306, 2007.
  • Kisslinger C., Jones L.M. Properties of aftershock sequences in Southern California., J. Geophys. Res., 96:B7 11,947-11,958, 1991.

26 Kasım 2019, ML=6.3, Kuzey Durrës, Arnavutluk Depreminin Artçı Şok Dizisinin Davranışları Üzerine Bir Değerlendirme

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1, 817 - 826, 15.06.2021
https://doi.org/10.18586/msufbd.899411

Öz

26 Kasım 2019, ML=6.3, kuzey Durrës, Arnavutluk depreminin artçı şok oluşumunun detaylı bir değerlendirmesi yapılmıştır. b-değeri 0.88 ±0.07 olarak hesaplanmıştır. b-değeri 1.0’e yakındır ve nispeten küçük b-değeri ML4.0 olan büyük artçı şokların fazla oluşundan kaynaklanmış olabilir. p-değeri, Mmin=3.1 ve Tstart=0.0034 gün alınarak 1.23±0.08 olarak hesaplanmıştır. Bu yüksek p-değeri artçı şok aktivitesinin nispeten hızlı azalım oranının bir sonucu olabilir. Dc-değeri 1.74±0.09 olarak hesaplanmıştır ve buda artçı şokların daha büyük ölçeklerde homojen olarak dağıldığı anlamına gelir. En küçük b-değerleri ve en büyük p-değerleri ana şokun kuzey, kuzeybatı ve kuzey kısımlarında gözlenmiştir. Daha düşük b-değerleri daha büyük gerilme değişişimler ile ilişkiliyken, daha büyük p-değerleri ana şoktan sonraki maksimum atım ile ilişkilidir. Sonuç olarak, artçı şok oluşumlarının bölge-zaman-magnitüd analizleri gerçek zamanlı artçı şok tehlikesinin hızlı değerlendirmeleri için önemli ipuçları sağlayabilir.

Kaynakça

  • Sulstarova E., Koçiaj S. The Albania Earthquake Catalog. Edition of Academy of Sciences of Albania, 1975.
  • Sulstarova E., Kociaj S., Aliaj Sh. Seismic regionalization of PSR of Albania. Publishing House of “8 Nentori” Tirana, 1-297, 1980.
  • Jolivet L. Faccenna C. Mediterranean extension and the Africa-Eurasia collision, Tectonophysics, 19:6 1095-1106, 2000.
  • Aliaj Sh., Sulstarova E., Muço B., Koçiu S. Seismotectonic map of Albania at the scale 1:500.000, Instituti i Sizmologjisë Tiranë, 2000.
  • Aliaj Sh., Koçiu S., Muço B., Sulstarova E. Seismicity, seismotectonic and seismic hazard assessment in Albania, Published by Albanian Academy of Sciences, 2010.
  • Aliaj Sh., Meço S. Neotectonics map of Albania at the scale 1:200.000, Albanian Geological Survey, Tirana, 2018.
  • Ormeni Rr., Hoxha I., Naco P., Dashamir G. The strong earthquake of 26 November 2019 (Mw 6.4) and its associate active tectonic of Durresi region in Albania, European Geosciences Union, General Assambly, (EGU2020), Vienna, Austria, 2020.
  • Öztürk S., Şahin Ş. A statistical space-time-magnitude analysis on the aftershocks occurrence of the July 21th, 2017 MW=6.5 Bodrum-Kos, Turkey, earthquake, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 172 443-457, 2019.
  • Ranalli G.A Statistical Study of Aftershock Sequences, Annals of Geophysics, 22 359-397, 1969.
  • Wiemer S., Katsumata K. Spatial variability of seismicity parameters in aftershock zones, J. Geophys. Res., 104:B6 13135-13151, 1999.
  • Ogata Y. Increased probability of large earthquakes near aftershock regions with relative quiescence, J. Geophys. Res., 106 8729-8744, 2001.
  • Polat O., Eyidogan H., Haessler H., Cisternas A., Philip H. Analysis and interpretation of the aftershock sequence of the August 17, 1999, Izmit (Turkey) earthquake, Journal of Seismology, 6 287-306, 2002.
  • Bayrak Y., Öztürk S. Spatial and temporal variations of the aftershock sequences of the 1999 İzmit and Düzce earthquakes, Earth Planets and Space, 56:10 933-944, 2004.
  • Öztürk S., Çınar H., Bayrak Y., Karslı H., Daniel G. Properties of Aftershock Sequence of the 2003 Bingöl, MD=6.4, (Turkey) Earthquake, Pure and Applied Geophysics, 165:2 349-371, 2008.
  • Enescu B., Enescu D., Ito K. Values of b and p: Their variations and relation to physical processes for Earthquakes in Japan and Romania, Romanian Journal of Physics, 56:3-4 590-608, 2011.
  • Zhang S., Wang G., Sa W. Damage evaluation of concrete gravity dams under mainshock–aftershock seismic sequences, Soil Dynamics and Earthquake Engineering, 50 16-27, 2013.
  • Nemati M. An appraisal of aftershocks behavior for large earthquakes in Persia, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 79 432-440, 2014.
  • Ávila-Barrientos L., Zúñiga F.R., Rodríguez-Perez Q., Guzmán-Speziale M. Variation of b and p values from aftershocks sequences along the Mexican subduction zone and their relation to plate characteristics, Journal of South American Earth Sciences, 63 162-171, 2015.
  • Ansari S. Aftershocks properties of the 2013 Shonbe Mw 6.3 earthquake, central Zagros, Iran, Journal of Asian Earth Sciences, 147 17-27, 2017.
  • Ormeni Rr., Öztürk S. a statistical analysis on the aftershock sequence for July 3rd, 2017, border region of Macedonia-Albania (ML=5.0) earthquake: Aftershock probability evaluation, Journal of Natural and Technical Sciences, XXIII(47) 95-110, 2018.
  • Ormeni Rr., Öztürk S. An appraisal on the aftershock characteristics of the July 4, 2018 earthquake, ML=5.1, near Durrës, Albania, Journal of Natural and Technical Sciences, XXIV(48) 27-44, 2019.
  • Nanjo K.Z. Were changes in stress state responsible for the 2019 Ridgecrest, California, earthquakes? Nature Communications, 11 3082, 2020.
  • Utsu T.A Statistical study on the occurrence of aftershocks, Geophys. Mag., 30 521-605, Tokyo, Japan, 1961.
  • Gutenberg R., Richter C.F. Frequency of earthquakes in California, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 34 185-188, 1944.
  • Öncel A.O, Main I., Alptekin A., Cowie P. Spatial variations of the fractal properties of seismicity in the Anatolian fault zones, Tectonophysics, 257 189-202, 1996.
  • Wiemer S.A software package to analyze seismicity: ZMAP, Seismol. Res. Lett., 72:2 373-382, 2001.
  • Ormeni Rr. Structure of P, S seismic wave velocities of the Albanian earth lithospheres and its seismoactive features, Kumi publications, Tirana, 2010.
  • Klein F.W. User’s guide to HYPOINVERSE-2000, a Fortran program to solve for earthquake locations and magnitudes, U.S. Geological Survey, Menlo Park, CA, 2002.
  • Grassberger P., Procaccia I. Measuring the strangeness of strange attractors, Physics, D9 189-208, 1983.
  • Utsu T., Ogata Y., Matsu’ura R.S. The centenary of the Omori formula for decay law of aftershock activity, J. Phys. Earth, 43 1-33, 1995.
  • Utsu T. Aftershock and earthquake statistic (III): Analyses of the distribution of earthquakes in magnitude, time and space with special consideration to clustering characteristics of earthquake occurrence (1), J. Faculty Sci., Hokkaido University, Ser., VII (Geophys.) 3 379-441, 1971.
  • Frohlich C., Davis S. Teleseismic b-values: Or, much ado about 1.0, J. Geophys. Res., 98:B1 631-644, 1993.
  • Hirata T. Aftershock sequence of the earthquake off Shikotan Island on January 29, 1968, Geophys. Bull. Hokkaido Univ., 21 33-43, 1969.
  • Öncel A.O., Wilson T.H. Space-time correlations of seismotectonic parameters and examples from Japan and Turkey preceding the İzmit earthquake, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 92 339-350, 2002.
  • Polat O., Gok E., Yılmaz D. Earthquake hazard of the Aegean Extension region (West Turkey), Turkish Journal of Earth Sciences, 17 593-614, 2008.
  • Wiemer S., Wyss M. Minimum magnitude of completeness in earthquake catalogs: Examples from Alaska, the Western United States, and Japan, Bull. Seismol. Soc. Am., 90:3 859-869, 2000.
  • Ogata Y. Estimation of the parameters in the modified Omori formula for aftershock frequencies by the maximum likelihood procedure, J. Phys. Earth., 31 115-124, 1983.
  • Aki, K. Maximum likelihood estimate of b in the formula logN =a-bM and its confidence limits, Bull. Earthquake Res. Inst., Tokyo University, 43 237-239, 1965.
  • Helmstetter A., Shaw B. Relation between stress heterogeneity and aftershock rate in the rate-and-state model, J. Geophys. Res., 111 B07304, 2006.
  • Peng Z., Vidale J.E., Ishii M., Helmstetter A. Seismicity rate immediately before and after mainshock rupture from high-frequency waveforms in Japan, J. Geophys. Res., 112 B03306, 2007.
  • Kisslinger C., Jones L.M. Properties of aftershock sequences in Southern California., J. Geophys. Res., 96:B7 11,947-11,958, 1991.
Toplam 41 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Mühendislik
Bölüm Araştırma Makalesi
Yazarlar

Serkan Öztürk 0000-0003-1322-5164

Rrapo Ormenı Bu kişi benim 0000-0002-5514-2204

Yayımlanma Tarihi 15 Haziran 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 9 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Öztürk, S., & Ormenı, R. (2021). An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania. Mus Alparslan University Journal of Science, 9(1), 817-826. https://doi.org/10.18586/msufbd.899411
AMA Öztürk S, Ormenı R. An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania. MAUN Fen Bil. Dergi. Haziran 2021;9(1):817-826. doi:10.18586/msufbd.899411
Chicago Öztürk, Serkan, ve Rrapo Ormenı. “An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania”. Mus Alparslan University Journal of Science 9, sy. 1 (Haziran 2021): 817-26. https://doi.org/10.18586/msufbd.899411.
EndNote Öztürk S, Ormenı R (01 Haziran 2021) An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania. Mus Alparslan University Journal of Science 9 1 817–826.
IEEE S. Öztürk ve R. Ormenı, “An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania”, MAUN Fen Bil. Dergi., c. 9, sy. 1, ss. 817–826, 2021, doi: 10.18586/msufbd.899411.
ISNAD Öztürk, Serkan - Ormenı, Rrapo. “An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania”. Mus Alparslan University Journal of Science 9/1 (Haziran 2021), 817-826. https://doi.org/10.18586/msufbd.899411.
JAMA Öztürk S, Ormenı R. An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania. MAUN Fen Bil. Dergi. 2021;9:817–826.
MLA Öztürk, Serkan ve Rrapo Ormenı. “An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania”. Mus Alparslan University Journal of Science, c. 9, sy. 1, 2021, ss. 817-26, doi:10.18586/msufbd.899411.
Vancouver Öztürk S, Ormenı R. An Evaluation on the Behaviors of Aftershock Sequence of November 26th, 2019 Earthquake, ML=6.3, North of Durrës, Albania. MAUN Fen Bil. Dergi. 2021;9(1):817-26.