AR-GE HARCAMALARI VE İŞSİZLİK ARASINDAKİ NEDENSELLİĞİN AMPİRİK ANALİZİ: G7 ÜLKELERİ ÖRNEĞİ
Yıl 2019,
Cilt: 41 Sayı: 2, 413 - 431, 06.01.2020
Mustafa Gerçeker
,
İbrahim Özmen
,
Mehmet Mucuk
Öz
Ar-Ge faaliyetleri sonucu gerçekleştirilen teknolojik ilerlemeler hem çıktı miktarı hem de işsizlik
oranları üzerinde önemli etkiler meydana getirmektedir. Ancak Ar-Ge alanındaki çalışmaların
işsizlik üzerindeki etkileri konusunda farklı yaklaşımlar bulunmaktadır. Bu yaklaşımlardan ilki;
süreç inovasyonunun teknolojik işsizliği beraberinde getireceğini ileri sürerken; diğer yaklaşım ise
ürün inovasyonu ile birlikte işsizliğin azalacağını kabul etmektedir. Bu çalışmada Ar-Ge harcamaları
ile işsizlik arasındaki nedensel bağıntının G7 ülkeleri için 1990-2016 dönemine ait yıllık verilerden
hareketle Kónya (2006) panel bootstrap Granger nedensellik testi kullanılarak analiz edilmesi
amaçlanmaktadır. Nedensellik testi sonuçları; Almanya, Fransa, İtalya ve Japonya’da Ar-Ge harcamaları
ile işsizlik arasında karşılıklı bir ilişki bulunduğunu göstermiştir. Diğer taraftan Kanada’da ve ABD’de
ise Ar-Ge harcamaları ile işsizlik arasında tek yönlü bir bağıntı bulunmaktadır.
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