Türkiye’de Sanayi Üretim Endeksinin Periyodik Durağanlık Özellikleri

Yıl 2016, Cilt: 11 Sayı: 1, 49 - 62, 01.04.2016

Selim Yıldırım Esin Kılıç

Öz

Katı şekilde takvime bağlı olmayan periyodik hareketler, genellikle seride istenen özellikler değildir sorunlardan ötürü genelde seriden filtrelenerek atılmaya çalışılmaktadır. Bu yaklaşıma karşın, günümüzde yapısının önemli özellikler taşıdığı ve bu nedenle serilerin periyodiklik özellikleri ile baş edebilen teknikler çerçevesinde incelenmesi gerektiği görüşü yaygınlaşmaktadır. Bu çalışmada, ikinci görüş dikkate alınarak, Türkiye’de sanayi üretim endeksinin periyodik yapısı zaman bölgesi teknikleri ile detaylı olarak incelenmekte ve sanayi üretim serisinin durağanlık özellikleri periyodik bağlamda ele alınmaktır

Anahtar Kelimeler

Sanayi Üretim Endeksi, Durağanlık, Zaman Serileri, Periyodik Özellikler

Periodic Stationarity Properties of Industrial Production Index in Turkey

Öz

Periodic movements which do not strictly depend on calendar time are usually undesirable properties in series and it is generally tried to dispose from series by filtering due to the problems posed in the empirical analysis. Despite this approach, nowadays the opinion that periodic structure of an economical series has important properties and thus series need to be examined within the framework of techniques which are able to cope with periodicity properties becomes widespread. In this study, considering the second opinion, periodic structure of Turkey's industrial production index is examined in detail by time domain techniques and stationarity properties of the industrial production series are dealt with in the periodic context

Anahtar Kelimeler

Industrial Production Index, Stationarity, Time Series, Periodic Properties

Kaynakça

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