Araştırma Makalesi
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Nato'nun Yüksek Kuzey'deki Rolü Ve Yetenekleri

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 13 Sayı: Özel Sayı, 112 - 128, 10.10.2024

Öz

Rusya’nın 24 Şubat 2022’de Ukrayna’yı işgali, NATO’nun savunma ve caydırıcılık kapasitesi üzerinde önemli değişimler ortaya çıkarmıştır. Rusya’nın Ukrayna’yı işgaline kadar, NATO tarafından yeteri kadar önem verilmeyen Arktik Bölgesi, bu işgal ile birlikte NATO açısından dikkat edilmesi gereken bir bölge haline gelmiştir. Rusya’nın bölgedeki askeri varlığı, NATO tarafından tehdit olarak algılanmış, bundan dolayı bölgedeki askeri kapasitesini arttırma yoluna gitmiştir. Rusya’nın Ukrayna işgali, Arktik Bölgesi’ni işbirliğinin ortadan kalktığı, çatışma potansiyelinin ön plana çıktığı bir bölge haline getirmiştir. Yakın zamanda bunun değişmesi mümkün görünmemektedir. Bu makale, NATO’nun Arktik politikaları ve stratejileri ile kara, hava ve deniz unsurları açısından Arktik’teki askeri yeteneklerinin ne olduğu konusuna yoğunlaşarak, devam eden Ukrayna savaşının bunlara etkisini incelemektedir. Makalenin metodolojisi, nitel araştırma yöntemlerinden doküman incelemesine dayanmaktadır. Bu kapsamda akademik makaleler, strateji belgeleri, NATO raporları ve resmi kurumların yayınları incelenmiş ve analiz edilmiştir. Makale, Rusya’nın Ukrayna’yı işgali sonrasında NATO’nun Arktik Bölgesi’ndeki artan askeri varlığını ortaya koymaktadır. Arktik Bölgesi’ndeki NATO ülkeleri bireysel olarak bölgedeki savunma ve caydırıcılık kapasitesini arttırsa da, tam olarak bir bütünlük oluşturamamakta ve birbirlerinin açıklarını ortadan kaldırmamaktadır. Dolayısıyla, NATO’nun Arktik Bölgesi’nde Rusya’ya karşı şimdilik mutlak bir üstünlüğünden bahsetmek mümkün görülmemektedir.

Etik Beyan

BU MAKALE "SOĞUK SAVAŞ SONRASI DEĞİŞEN ARKTİK GÜVENLİĞİ VE NATO’NUN YAKLAŞIMI: RİSKLER VE ZORLUKLAR" TEZDEN TÜRETİLMİŞTİR.

Kaynakça

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NATO’s Role and Capabilities in the High North

Yıl 2024, Cilt: 13 Sayı: Özel Sayı, 112 - 128, 10.10.2024

Öz

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, 2022 brought about significant changes in NATO’s defence and deterrence capasity. The Arctic Region, which was not given sufficient importance by NATO until Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, has become a region that requires attention for NATO. Russia’s military presence in the region was perceived as a threat by NATO, so it sought to increase its military capacity in the region. Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has turned the Arctic Region into a region where cooparation has disappeared and conflict potential has come to the fore. It does not seem possible fort his to change in the near future. This article focuses on NATO’s Arctic policies and strategies and its military capabilities in the Arctic in terms of land, air and sea elements, and examines the impact of the ongoing Ukrainian war on them. The methodology of the article is based on document analysis, one of the qualitative research methods. In this contex, academic articles, strategy documents, NATO reports and publications of official institutions were examined and analyzed. The article reveals NATO’s increased military presence in the Arctic following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. Although NATO countries in the Arctic Region individually increase their defence and deterrence capacity in the region, they can not fully form a unite and eliminate each other’s vulnerabilities. Therefore, it is not possible to talk about NATO’s absulate superiority over Russia in the Arctic Region for now.

Kaynakça

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  • Balakyev, S. (2015, 8 Aralık). Russia deployed two S-400 air defense missile regiments in Arctic in 2015 — General Staff. Russian News Agency. https://tass.com/defense/842201
  • Boulégue, M. (2019). Russia’s military posture in the Arctic managing hard power in a ‘low tension’ environment. Russia and Eurasia Programme. https://www.chathamhouse.org/sites/default/files/2019-06-28-Russia-Military-Arctic_0.pdf
  • Buchanan, E. (2022). Cool change ahead? NATO's strategic concept and the High North, NATO Defence College. https://www.ndc.nato.int/news/news.php?icode=1680
  • Bye, H. G. (2020). Leaving its Arctic reluctance behind: The re-emergence of US security policy focus towards the European High North and its implications for Norway. The Polar Journal, 10(1), 82-101. https://doi.org/10.1080/2154896X.2020.1757831.
  • Bye, H. G. (2023). New chief in the north: The Norwegian joint headquarters is unique in European context. High North News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/new-chief-north-norwegian-joint-headquarters-unique-european-context.
  • Chatham House (2020). The role and mission of NATO joint force command norfolk. A conversation with vice Admiral Lewis. Chatham House. https://www.chathamhouse.org/events/all/research-event/role-and-mission-nato-joint-force-command-norfolk-conversation-vice.
  • Conley, H. A. & Arts, S. (2023). NATO’s policy and posture in the Arctic: Revisiting Allied capabilities and command plans. German Marshall Fund (GMF). https://www.gmfus.org/news/natos-policy-and-posture-arctic-revisiting-allied-capabilities-and-command-plans
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  • Depledge, D. (2021). NATO and the Arctic: The need for a new approach. The RUSI Journal, 165(5-6), 80-90. https://doi.org/10.1080/03071847.2020.1865831.
  • Edvardsen, A. (2023a). Sweden and the US signs defence cooperation agreement. High North News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/sweden-and-us-signs-defense-cooperation-agreement
  • Edvardsen, A. (2023b). Increased allied military presence in Iceland. High North News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/increased-allied-military-presence-iceland
  • Edvardsen, A. (2023c). Tenth visit by American submarines in Grotsund, Tromso. High North News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/tenth-visit-american-submarines-grotsund-tromso
  • Edvardsen, A. (2023d). Fruquent submarine calls in Tromso-New US nuclear submarine on logistical stop. High North News. https://www.arctictoday.com/frequent-submarine-calls-in-tromso-new-us-nuclear-submarine-on-logistical-stop/
  • Ernie Regehr, O.C. (2023). Strategic nuclear patrols and an Arctic military code of conduct. The Simons Foundation Canada. https://thesimonsfoundation.ca/highlights/strategic-nuclear-patrols-and-arctic-military-code-conduct.
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  • FORSVARET. (2020b). Structure of the navy. FORSVARET. https://www.forsvaret.dk/en/organisation/navy/structure-of-the-navy/
  • Franiok, N. (2020). Russian arctic military bases. American Security Project (ASP). https://americansecurityproject.org/russian-arctic-military-bases/
  • Frisell, E.H. vd. (2021). Western military capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. Swedish Defence Research Agency. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportNo=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Ghoshal, D. (2023). A look at defense competition in the Arctic region. The Defense Info Team. https://defense.info/re-thinking-strategy/2023/12/a-look-at-defense-competition-in-the-arctic- region/
  • Graca, J. ve Tarociński, J. (2023). Sweden in NATO: The rear for the alliance’s north-eastern flank?. Centre For Eastern Studıes. https://www.osw.waw.pl/sites/default/files/OSW%20Commentary%20557_0.pdf
  • Grady, J. (2023). New pact gives U.S. military access to 15 bases in Finland. USNI News. https://news.usni.org/2023/12/21/new-pact-gives-u-s-military-access-to-15-bases-in-finland
  • Gustafsson, J. (2021). Western military capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. Swedish Defence Research Agency. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportno=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Hedlund, S. (2019). Sweden rebuilds its military force, maybe. GIS Reports. https://www.gisreportsonline.com/r/sweden-military/
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  • Holm, A.O. (2023). American forces enter the North with free access to 36 military bases. High Nort News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/american-forces-enter-north-free-access-36-military-bases
  • Humpert, M. (2023). From Ukraine to the Arctic: Russia's capabilities in the region and the war's impact on the north. High Nort News. https://www.highnorthnews.com/en/ukraine-arctic-russias-capabilities-region-and-wars-impact-north
  • IISS. (2023). The Military balance 2023. London: Routledge. https://doi.org/10.4324/9781003400226. Ilmavoimat (2024). Long-term development is the key to sustained air defence capability. Air Force. https://ilmavoimat.fi/en/development-of-finlands-air-defence capability?__cf_chl_tk=SvfubDE6rGBNC4pekN38IvUXB3a7kV3ap2nEnY4jrFQ-1706610357-0-gaNycGzNDHs
  • Jonsson, M. (2021). Finland. In Eva Hagström Frisell and Krister Pallin (Ed.) Western military capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportNo=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Laird, R. (2022). The Ukraine crisis: Highlighting the role of the flanks of NATO. High Nort News. https://defense.info/re-thinking-strategy/2022/02/the-ukraine-crisis-highlighting-the-role-of-the-flanks-of-nato/.
  • Limon, O., & Limon, E. G. (2023). Arktik güvenliğini yeniden düşünmek: Değişimler ve zorluklar. Güvenlik Bilimleri Dergisi, 12(2), 223-248.
  • Lundquist, V. (2021a). Denmark. In Eva Hagström Frisell and Krister Pallin (Ed.) Western Military Capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportNo=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Lundquist, V. (2021b). Denmark's military capability 2020. Swedish Defence Research Agency. https://www.foi.se/rest-api/report/FOI%20Memo%207589
  • Masters, J. ve Merrow, W. (2023). Nuclear weapons in Europe: Mapping U.S. and Russian deployments. Council on Foreign Relations. https://www.cfr.org/in-brief/nuclear-weapons-europe-mapping-us-and-russian-deployments
  • Matthiasson, S. (2023). NATO in the North: Adopting a balanced approach. Council on Foreign Relations. https://perconcordiam.com/nato-in-the-north-2/
  • MDAA. (2016). Long Range Discrimination Radar (LRDR)- missile defense advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defense-systems/long-range-discrimination-radar-lrdr/
  • MDAA. (2018a). Active Phased Array Radar (APAR). Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defense-systems/active-phased-array-radar-apar/
  • MDAA. (2018b). CEROS 200 Fire Control System (FCS). Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/defense-systems/ceros-200-fire-control-system-fcs/
  • MDAA. (2022). Canada- missile defence advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/intl_cooperation/canada/
  • MDAA. (2023a). Finland - missile defence advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/intl_cooperation/finland/
  • MDAA. (2023b). Sweden - missile defence advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/intl_cooperation/sweden/
  • MDAA. (2024a). Norway - missile defence advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance. https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/intl_cooperation/norway/ .
  • MDAA. (2024b). Denmark - missile defence advocacy alliance. Missile Defense Advocacy Alliance https://missiledefenseadvocacy.org/intl_cooperation/denmark/
  • Melino, M., Conley, H.A. ve Bermudez Jr, J.S. (2020). The ice curtain: Bringing transparency to the Arctic. CSIS Briefs. https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/publication/200324_KolaPeninsula_layout_FINAL.pdf
  • Michael, J. (2021). Finland’s military capability 2020. Finish Ministry Defence Agency. https://www.foi.se/rest-api/report/FOI%20Memo%207591
  • Miller, S. E. (2023). The return of the strategic Arctic. Arctic Yearbook 2022 https://arcticyearbook.com/images/yearbook/2022/Commentaries/6C_AY2022_Miller.pdf
  • Missile Defence Project (2021). Long Range Discrimination Radar (LRDR). Missile Threat Center for Strategic and International Studies. https://missilethreat.csis.org/defsys/lrdr/
  • Mottola, L. (2023). NATO’s arctic command: A Case fort he expansion of NATO’s mission in the high north. Missile Threat Center for Strategic and International Studies. https://www.thearcticinstitute.org/nato-arctic-command-case-expansion-nato-mission-high-north/
  • Moyer, J.C. ve Winberg, H. (2024). Sweden’s contribution to NATO: Bolstering the alliance’s defence industry and air capabilities. Wilson Center. https://www.wilsoncenter.org/article/swedens-contributions-nato-bolstering-alliances-defense-industry-and-air-capabilities
  • Ilmavoimat. (2024). Nordic air commanders’ ıntent. The Finnish Air Force. https://ilmavoimat.fi/documents/1951206/2016335/ILMAV_(U)-Nordic-Air-Commanders-Intent_23032023.pdf/f7aae370-f5a8-3933-1399-2d008d74c777/ILMAV_(U)-Nordic-Air-Commanders-Intent_23032023.pdf
  • National Advanced Surface to Air Missile System (2023). Airforce technology, Norvay. Air Force Technology. https://www.airforce-technology.com/projects/nasams-defence-system-norway/
  • NATO, (t.y.). Joint Force Command Norfolk. NATO. 16 Mayıs 2024 tarihinde https://jfcnorfolk.nato.int/about-us. adresinden edinilmiştir.
  • NATO (2020a). NATO begins cooperation with Danish joint arctic command in Greenland. NATO. https://mc.nato.int/media-centre/news/2020/nato-begins-cooperation-with-danish-joint-arctic-command-in-greenland
  • NATO (2020b). NATO defence planning capability review 2019/2020. NATO. https://www.fmn.dk/globalassets/fmn/dokumenter/aarsrapporter/nato/-nato-defence-planning-capability-review-2019-2020-.pdf
  • NATO (2022). NATO 2022 Strategic concept. NATO. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_210907.htm
  • NATO (2023a). NATO’s nuclear deterrence policy and forces. NATO. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_50068.htm
  • NATO (2023b). NATO response force. NATO. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_49755.htm
  • NATO (2023c). NATO Integrated air and missile defence. NATO. https://www.nato.int/cps/en/natohq/topics_8206.htm
  • NATO (2024). Joint force command norfolk, U.S. 2nd fleet hold change of command ceremony. NATO. https://jfcnorfolk.nato.int/activity/joint-force-command-norfolk--us-2nd-fleet-hold-change-of-command-ceremony
  • NNSA (2021). B61-12 Life Extension Program (LEP). National Nucleer Security Administration. https://www.energy.gov/sites/default/files/2021-12/B61-12%20Fact%20Sheet%20December%202021.pdf
  • NORAD.(2023a). NORAD authorities and operations. Government of Canada. https://www.canada.ca/en/department-national-defence/corporate/reports-publications/proactive-disclosure/secd-april-24-2023/norad-authorities-and-operations.html
  • NORAD.(2023b). Arctic security CAF operations and exercises. Government of Canada. https://www.canada.ca/en/department-national-defence/corporate/reports-publications/proactive-disclosure/secd-april-24-2023/arctic-security.html
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  • Ottosson, B. (2021). The United States. In Eva Hagström Frisell and Krister Pallin (Ed.) Western Military Capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportNo=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Pallin, K. (2021). Fighting power in Northern Europe. In Eva Hagström Frisell and Krister Pallin (Ed.) Western Military Capability in Northern Europe 2020: Part II National Capabilities. https://foi.se/en/foi/reports/report-summary.html?reportNo=FOI-R--5013--SE
  • Paul, M., & Swistek, G. (2022). Russia in the Arctic: Development plans, military potential, and conflict prevention (No. 3/2022). Stiftung Wissenschaft und Politik (SWP), German Institute for International and Security Affairs. https://doi.org/10.18449/2022RP03.
  • Shailesb, S. (2023). Unified Nordic airforce- a mini-nato in the making. CESCUBE. https://www.cescube.com/vp-unified-nordic-airforce-a-mini-nato-in-the-making
  • THALES. (2023). Thales to reinforce Denmark’s air surveillance and defence with GM 200 radars. THALES. https://www.thalesgroup.com/en/worldwide/defence/press_release/thales-reinforce-denmarks-air-surveillance-and-defence-five-gm200
  • Tingstad, A., Savitz, S., Sacks, B.J., Shokh, Y. Chindea, I.A., Stephenson, S.R. & Morris, L.J. (2023). Report on the Arctic capabilities of the U.S. armed forces. Homeland Security Operational Analysis Center. https://www.rand.org/pubs/research_reports/RRA1638-1.html
  • U.S. Department of Defence (2022). 2022 National defence strategy of the United States of America. U.S Department of Defence. https://media.defense.gov/2022/Oct/27/2003103845/-1/-1/1/2022-NATIONAL-DEFENSE-STRATEGY-NPR-MDR.PDF
  • Virginia Arts Festival (2021). JFC Norfolk. Virginia Arts Festival. https://www.vafest.org/norfolk-nato-festival/about-us/jfc-norfolk/
  • Wall, C. & Wegge, N. (2023). The Russian Arctic threat: Consequences of the Ukraine war. CSIS Briefs. https://csis-website-prod.s3.amazonaws.com/s3fs-public/2023-01/230125_Wall_RussianArcticThreat_0.pdf?VersionId=e8h73TdoOUjdJO3Y4nOTc4v5YRmpoZad
  • Williams, I. (2017). The Russia -NATO A2AD environment. CSIS. https://missilethreat.csis.org/russia-nato-a2ad-environment/
Toplam 76 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Konular Uluslararası İlişkiler (Diğer)
Bölüm Araştırma Makaleleri
Yazarlar

Özgür Demirayak 0000-0003-2263-5659

Davut Ateş 0000-0002-8103-4186

Erken Görünüm Tarihi 7 Ekim 2024
Yayımlanma Tarihi 10 Ekim 2024
Gönderilme Tarihi 28 Mayıs 2024
Kabul Tarihi 8 Ağustos 2024
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2024 Cilt: 13 Sayı: Özel Sayı

Kaynak Göster

APA Demirayak, Ö., & Ateş, D. (2024). Nato’nun Yüksek Kuzey’deki Rolü Ve Yetenekleri. Paradigma: İktisadi Ve İdari Araştırmalar Dergisi, 13(Özel Sayı), 112-128.