Monitoring, Evaluation and Early Warning of Agricultural Input and Output Markets in Turkey: Current Status and New Trends

Yıl 2023, Cilt: 9 Sayı: EKS 1 - 15. Ulusal Tarım Ekonomisi Kongresi Ek Sayısı, 26 - 39, 27.12.2023

Vedat Ceyhan

https://doi.org/10.61513/tead.1361021

Öz

In this study, it is aimed to reveal the current situation in Türkiye in the context of agricultural market monitoring, evaluation and early warning and to develop monitoring system based on the results of the analysis synchrony data obtained from actors of agricultural network. The study proposes a model based on information technology to enable effective monitoring of agricultural markets in Türkiye. In the study, data obtained from previous national and international research on the subject and individual interviews with interested parties were used. SWOT analysis was used to reveal the current situation in terms of monitoring and evaluation of agricultural markets. Developments and global trends in the context of monitoring and evaluation of agricultural markets are presented on the basis of literature and good practice examples. Recommended model is based on block chain technology and IoT. The results of the study showed that the agricultural markets in Türkiye could not be monitored effectively, there was not a consolidating organizational structure to fulfill the monitoring and early warning functions, and the information technology could not be utilized sufficiently in monitoring-evaluation. The results of the study also revealed that with the effect of changing world conditions, a new paradigm, which foresees sensitive management and decision processes based on data and information technology, has been adopted in developed countries. In the study, the traditional agricultural market monitoring approach, which is currently applied in Türkiye, should be replaced with the new one based on digital technologies (block chain, internet of things, etc.) and new analysis approach such as machine and deep learning, artificial intelligence, etc. The study proposes that necessary studies be carried out to move to the new paradigm.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Monitoring agricultural markets, Early warning, Information technology

Türkiye’de Tarım Piyasaları İzleme, Değerlendirme ve Erken Uyarı: Mevcut Durum ve Yeni Yönelimler

Öz

Bu çalışmada, tarım piyasaları izleme, değerlendirme ve erken uyarı bağlamında Türkiye’deki mevcut durumu ortaya koymak ve tarım ekosisteminde yer alan aktörlerden sağlanan gerçek zamanlı verilerin analiz sonuçlarına dayalı piyasa izleme ve değerlendirme yapabilecek bir model önerisi geliştirmek amaçlanmıştır. Çalışmada konuya ilişkin daha önce yapılmış ulusal ve uluslararası araştırmalardan ve ilgili taraflarla yapılan bireysel görüşmelerden elde edilen veriler kullanılmıştır. Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirme açısından mevcut durumun ortaya konulmasında güçlü yönler, zayıf yönler, fırsatlar, tehditler (GZFT) analizinden yararlanılmıştır. Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirilmesi bağlamında yaşanan gelişmeler ve küresel eğilimler literatüre dayalı olarak ve iyi uygulama örnekleri esas alınarak ortaya konulmuştur. Çalışma sonuçları Türkiye’de tarım piyasalarının olması gereken düzeyde izlenemediğini, izlemeyi ve erken uyarı fonksiyonunu yerine getirecek toparlayıcı bir organizasyon yapısının olmadığını ve izleme-değerlendirmede teknolojiden yeterli düzeyde yararlanılamadığını göstermiştir. Çalışma sonuçları ayrıca değişen dünya koşulları sebebiyle hassas yönetim ile veri ve bilgi teknolojisine dayalı karar süreçlerini öngören yeni değerler dizisine geçilmesi gerektiğini ortaya koymuştur. Çalışma Türkiye’de hali hazırda uygulanan geleneksel tarım piyasaları izleme yaklaşımından, dijital teknolojilerle (blok zincir, nesnelerin interneti vb.) gerçek zamanlı verilerin elde edilip bu verilerin makine ve derin öğrenmesi, yapay zekâ vb. gibi analiz yöntemleriyle analiz edilerek karar sürecinin işletildiği yeni değerler dizisine geçilmesi için gerekli çalışmaların yapılmasını önermektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Tarım piyasaları izleme ve değerlendirme, Erken uyarı, Bilgi teknolojileri

Kaynakça

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