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IMPACT OF TAX WEDGE AND SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS ON THE UNEMPLOYMENT: EVIDENCE FROM SELECTED EU TRANSITION ECONOMIES

Yıl 2021, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 59 - 77, 31.12.2021

Öz

The unemployment is one of the main economic problems for all the counties with different dimensions. Therefore, extensive studies have been conducted on the determinants of unemployment. This research explored the role of tax wedge and social security contributions on unemployment in selected EU transition economies over the 2000-2019 period through causality and cointegration tests. The causality analysis revealed a bilateral causality between tax wedge and unemployment and a unilateral causality from social security contributions to the unemployment. Furthermore, the cointegration analysis revealed that social security contributions positively affected the unemployment in the long run for the whole panel, but tax wedge did not have a significant impact on the unemployment. In addition to this, the country level cointegration coefficients revealed that tax wedge raised the unemployment in Lithuania, Poland, Slovak Republic, and Slovenia, and the social security contributions had a positive impact on the unemployment in Estonia, Hungary, Latvia, and Lithuania.

Kaynakça

  • Akalin, G. (2021). OECD Ülkelerinde Vergi Takozu ve İşsizlik İlişkisi. Uluslararası Ekonomi ve Yenilik Dergisi, 7(1), 37-49
  • Baccaro, L., Rei, D. (2007). Institutional determinants of unemployment in OECD countries: Does the deregulatory view hold water? International Organization, 61(03), 527-569. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818307070221
  • Breusch, T. S., Pagan, A.R. 1980. The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Catalano, M., Pezzolla, E. (2015). The interaction between the labour tax wedge and structural reforms in Italy. Revue de l’OFCE, 141, 185-222. Daveri F, Tabellini G, Bentolila S, Huizinga H. (2000).Unemployment, growth and taxation in industrial Countries. Econ Policy, 15(30), 47–104.
  • Deskar-Škrbić, M., Drezgić, S., Šimović, H. (2018). Tax policy and labour market in Croatia: Effects of tax wedge on employment. EFRI Exclusive Working Papers 2018-002
  • Dolenc, P., Laporšek, S. (2010). Tax wedge on labour and its effect on employment growth in the European Union. Prague economic Papers, 19(4), 344-358. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.381
  • Dolenc, P., Laporšek, S., Šeparović, A. (2011). Does labour taxation affect unemployment? Croatian worker in international erspective, Economic Research- Ekonomska Istraživanja, 24(3), 86-101, DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2011.11517469
  • Dumitrescu, E., Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460.
  • Đurović-Todorović, J., Đorđevic, M., Ristić, M. (2018). The tax wedge as the determinant of unemployment: A comparative overview of OECD countries and Serbia. 49th International Scientific Conference on Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis in Economics, Niš, Serbia, 61-75.
  • Eberhardt, M., & Bond, S. (2009). Cross-section dependence in nonstationary panel models: A novel estimator (MPRA Paper No. 17692). Munich: University Library of Munich. Retrieved from the Munich Personal RePEc Archive: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/17692/1/MPRA_paper_17692.pdf
  • Festa, A. (2015). Employment and productivity: The role of the tax wedge. EuroEconomica, 34(2), 139-150.
  • Folawewo, A.O., Adeboje, O.M. (2017). Macroeconomic determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidence from Economic Community of West African States. African Development Review, 29(2), 197-210. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12250
  • Galuščák, K., Kátay, G. (2019). Tax-benefit systems and differences in aggregate labour force participation: Comparative evidence from the Czech Republic and Hungary. Economic Systems, 43 100701.
  • Giray, F., Çınar, M. (2017). The impact on unemployment of social security contributions: The empiricial analysis in Turkey. European Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 2(6), 142-151.
  • Góra, M., Radziwiłł, A., Sowa, A., Walewski M. (2006). Tax wedge and skills: Case of Poland in International perspective. Centre for Social and Economic Research Report, 64/2006.
  • Lehmann, E., Lucifora, C., Moriconi, S., der Linden, B.V. (2014). Beyond the labour income tax wedge: The unemployment-reducing effect of tax progressivity. IZA DP No. 8276, https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/8276/beyond-the-labour-income-tax-wedge-the-unemployment-reducing-effect-of-tax-progressivity
  • Maqbool, M.S., Mahmood, T., Sattar, A., Bhalli, M. N. (2013). Determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidences from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 51(2), 191-208.
  • McCoskey, S., & Kao, C., (1998). A residual-based test of the null of cointegration in panel data. Econometric Reviews, 17(1), 57–84
  • Ochsen, C., Welsch, H. (2011). The social costs of unemployment: accounting for unemployment duration. Applied Economics, 43, 3999–4005. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036841003761900
  • OECD (2021a). Tax wedge, https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-wedge.htm#indicator-chart DOI: 10.1787/cea9eba3-en (05.02.2021)
  • OECD (2021b). Social security contributions, https://data.oecd.org/tax/social-security-contributions.htm#indicator-chart DOI: OECD (2021), DOI: 10.1787/3ebfe901-en ((05.02.2021)
  • Pană, M.C., Fanea-Ivanovici, M. (2019). Institutional arrangements and overeducation: Challenges for sustainable growth. Evidence from the Romanian labour market. Sustainability, 11, 6459. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11226459
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. CESifo Working Paper Series, 1229.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., and Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Radu, C.F., Fenișer, C., Schebesch, K.B., Fenișer, F., Dobrea, F.M. (2018). Study of the tax wedge in EU and other OECD countries: Using cluster analysis. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 238, 687– 696.
  • Šeparović, A. (2009). The influence of the tax wedge on unemployment in OECD countries in comparison with Croatia. Financial Theory and Practice, 33(4), 449-463.
  • Steiner, V. (1996). Employment and wage effects of social security financing: An empirical analysis of the West German experience and some policy simulations. Discussion Paper, No. 96–14.
  • Trpeski, P., & Tashevska, B. (2012). Labour tax wedge in the republic of Macedonia – Trends and international comparison. Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, 14(2), 571-585.
  • Thomas, A.H. (1998). The effects of tax wedges on hours worked and unemployment in Sweden. IMF Working Paper WP/98/152, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/30/The-Effects-of-Tax-Wedges-on-Hours-Worked-and-Unemployment-in-Sweden-2786
  • Turgut, M. (2015). Unrecorded economy and audit. Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 14(55), 32-44.
  • Tvrdon M. (2011). Relationship between taxation of labour and employment in the European Union: mathematical simulation, International Journal of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. 5(3), 274-281.
  • Van Rijckeghem, C. (1997). Social security tax reform and unemployment: A general equilibrium analysis for France. IMF Working Paper WP/97/59.
  • Vork, A., Leetmaa, R., Paulus, A., Anspal, S. (2007). Tax-benefit systems in the new member states and their impact on labour supply and employment. Working Paper 29/2006, PRAXIS Center for Policy Studies, http://pdc.ceu.hu/archive/00006510/01/PRAXIS_Tax-benefit-Systems-in-the-NMS_Jan2007.pdf
  • Westerlund, J., Edgerton, D.L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(3), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2007.03.003
  • World Bank (2021), Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate), https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS (02.06.2019)
  • Yilanci, V., Yavuz, H., Ince, T. (2019). Seçilmiş OECD Ülkelerinde Vergi Takozu-İşsizlik İlişkisi. Maliye Dergisi, 176, 286-297
Yıl 2021, Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2, 59 - 77, 31.12.2021

Öz

Kaynakça

  • Akalin, G. (2021). OECD Ülkelerinde Vergi Takozu ve İşsizlik İlişkisi. Uluslararası Ekonomi ve Yenilik Dergisi, 7(1), 37-49
  • Baccaro, L., Rei, D. (2007). Institutional determinants of unemployment in OECD countries: Does the deregulatory view hold water? International Organization, 61(03), 527-569. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0020818307070221
  • Breusch, T. S., Pagan, A.R. 1980. The Lagrange Multiplier Test and Its Applications to Model Specification in Econometrics. Review of Economic Studies, 47(1), 239-253.
  • Catalano, M., Pezzolla, E. (2015). The interaction between the labour tax wedge and structural reforms in Italy. Revue de l’OFCE, 141, 185-222. Daveri F, Tabellini G, Bentolila S, Huizinga H. (2000).Unemployment, growth and taxation in industrial Countries. Econ Policy, 15(30), 47–104.
  • Deskar-Škrbić, M., Drezgić, S., Šimović, H. (2018). Tax policy and labour market in Croatia: Effects of tax wedge on employment. EFRI Exclusive Working Papers 2018-002
  • Dolenc, P., Laporšek, S. (2010). Tax wedge on labour and its effect on employment growth in the European Union. Prague economic Papers, 19(4), 344-358. https://doi.org/10.18267/j.pep.381
  • Dolenc, P., Laporšek, S., Šeparović, A. (2011). Does labour taxation affect unemployment? Croatian worker in international erspective, Economic Research- Ekonomska Istraživanja, 24(3), 86-101, DOI: 10.1080/1331677X.2011.11517469
  • Dumitrescu, E., Hurlin, C. (2012). Testing for Granger non-causality in heterogeneous panels. Economic Modelling, 29(4), 1450–1460.
  • Đurović-Todorović, J., Đorđevic, M., Ristić, M. (2018). The tax wedge as the determinant of unemployment: A comparative overview of OECD countries and Serbia. 49th International Scientific Conference on Quantitative and Qualitative Analysis in Economics, Niš, Serbia, 61-75.
  • Eberhardt, M., & Bond, S. (2009). Cross-section dependence in nonstationary panel models: A novel estimator (MPRA Paper No. 17692). Munich: University Library of Munich. Retrieved from the Munich Personal RePEc Archive: http://mpra.ub.uni-muenchen.de/17692/1/MPRA_paper_17692.pdf
  • Festa, A. (2015). Employment and productivity: The role of the tax wedge. EuroEconomica, 34(2), 139-150.
  • Folawewo, A.O., Adeboje, O.M. (2017). Macroeconomic determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidence from Economic Community of West African States. African Development Review, 29(2), 197-210. https://doi.org/10.1111/1467-8268.12250
  • Galuščák, K., Kátay, G. (2019). Tax-benefit systems and differences in aggregate labour force participation: Comparative evidence from the Czech Republic and Hungary. Economic Systems, 43 100701.
  • Giray, F., Çınar, M. (2017). The impact on unemployment of social security contributions: The empiricial analysis in Turkey. European Journal of Multidisciplinary Studies, 2(6), 142-151.
  • Góra, M., Radziwiłł, A., Sowa, A., Walewski M. (2006). Tax wedge and skills: Case of Poland in International perspective. Centre for Social and Economic Research Report, 64/2006.
  • Lehmann, E., Lucifora, C., Moriconi, S., der Linden, B.V. (2014). Beyond the labour income tax wedge: The unemployment-reducing effect of tax progressivity. IZA DP No. 8276, https://www.iza.org/publications/dp/8276/beyond-the-labour-income-tax-wedge-the-unemployment-reducing-effect-of-tax-progressivity
  • Maqbool, M.S., Mahmood, T., Sattar, A., Bhalli, M. N. (2013). Determinants of unemployment: Empirical evidences from Pakistan. Pakistan Economic and Social Review, 51(2), 191-208.
  • McCoskey, S., & Kao, C., (1998). A residual-based test of the null of cointegration in panel data. Econometric Reviews, 17(1), 57–84
  • Ochsen, C., Welsch, H. (2011). The social costs of unemployment: accounting for unemployment duration. Applied Economics, 43, 3999–4005. https://doi.org/10.1080/00036841003761900
  • OECD (2021a). Tax wedge, https://data.oecd.org/tax/tax-wedge.htm#indicator-chart DOI: 10.1787/cea9eba3-en (05.02.2021)
  • OECD (2021b). Social security contributions, https://data.oecd.org/tax/social-security-contributions.htm#indicator-chart DOI: OECD (2021), DOI: 10.1787/3ebfe901-en ((05.02.2021)
  • Pană, M.C., Fanea-Ivanovici, M. (2019). Institutional arrangements and overeducation: Challenges for sustainable growth. Evidence from the Romanian labour market. Sustainability, 11, 6459. https://doi.org/10.3390/su11226459
  • Pesaran, M. H. (2004). General diagnostic tests for cross section dependence in panels. CESifo Working Paper Series, 1229.
  • Pesaran, M.H. (2007). A Simple Panel Unit Root Test in the Presence of Cross-section Dependence. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 22, 265-312.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Ullah, A., and Yamagata, T. (2008). A Bias-adjusted LM Test of Error Cross-section Independence. Econometrics Journal, 11(1), 105-127.
  • Pesaran, M. H., Yamagata, T. (2008). Testing Slope Homogeneity in Large Panels. Journal of Econometrics, 142(1), 50-93.
  • Radu, C.F., Fenișer, C., Schebesch, K.B., Fenișer, F., Dobrea, F.M. (2018). Study of the tax wedge in EU and other OECD countries: Using cluster analysis. Procedia - Social and Behavioral Sciences, 238, 687– 696.
  • Šeparović, A. (2009). The influence of the tax wedge on unemployment in OECD countries in comparison with Croatia. Financial Theory and Practice, 33(4), 449-463.
  • Steiner, V. (1996). Employment and wage effects of social security financing: An empirical analysis of the West German experience and some policy simulations. Discussion Paper, No. 96–14.
  • Trpeski, P., & Tashevska, B. (2012). Labour tax wedge in the republic of Macedonia – Trends and international comparison. Annales Universitatis Apulensis Series Oeconomica, 14(2), 571-585.
  • Thomas, A.H. (1998). The effects of tax wedges on hours worked and unemployment in Sweden. IMF Working Paper WP/98/152, https://www.imf.org/en/Publications/WP/Issues/2016/12/30/The-Effects-of-Tax-Wedges-on-Hours-Worked-and-Unemployment-in-Sweden-2786
  • Turgut, M. (2015). Unrecorded economy and audit. Elektronik Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi, 14(55), 32-44.
  • Tvrdon M. (2011). Relationship between taxation of labour and employment in the European Union: mathematical simulation, International Journal of Mathematics and Computers in Simulation. 5(3), 274-281.
  • Van Rijckeghem, C. (1997). Social security tax reform and unemployment: A general equilibrium analysis for France. IMF Working Paper WP/97/59.
  • Vork, A., Leetmaa, R., Paulus, A., Anspal, S. (2007). Tax-benefit systems in the new member states and their impact on labour supply and employment. Working Paper 29/2006, PRAXIS Center for Policy Studies, http://pdc.ceu.hu/archive/00006510/01/PRAXIS_Tax-benefit-Systems-in-the-NMS_Jan2007.pdf
  • Westerlund, J., Edgerton, D.L. (2007). A panel bootstrap cointegration test. Economics Letters, 97(3), http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.econlet.2007.03.003
  • World Bank (2021), Unemployment, total (% of total labor force) (modeled ILO estimate), https://data.worldbank.org/indicator/SL.UEM.TOTL.ZS (02.06.2019)
  • Yilanci, V., Yavuz, H., Ince, T. (2019). Seçilmiş OECD Ülkelerinde Vergi Takozu-İşsizlik İlişkisi. Maliye Dergisi, 176, 286-297
Toplam 38 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil İngilizce
Konular Ekonomi
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Ömer Faruk Öztürk

Yayımlanma Tarihi 31 Aralık 2021
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2021 Cilt: 4 Sayı: 2

Kaynak Göster

APA Öztürk, Ö. F. (2021). IMPACT OF TAX WEDGE AND SOCIAL SECURITY CONTRIBUTIONS ON THE UNEMPLOYMENT: EVIDENCE FROM SELECTED EU TRANSITION ECONOMIES. Uluslararası Bankacılık Ekonomi Ve Yönetim Araştırmaları Dergisi, 4(2), 59-77.