EVALUATION OF RELATIONSHIPS BETWEEN SUSTAINABLE DEVELOPMENT GOAL-3 AND ECOLOGICAL FOOTPRINT WITHIN THE SCOPE OF OECD COUNTRIES

Yıl 2024, Sayı: 45, 261 - 280, 31.10.2024

Güller Şahin

https://doi.org/10.18092/ulikidince.1528253

Öz

In this article, the effects of Sustainable Development Goal-3 (SDG-3) parameters on the ecological footprint in OECD countries in the period 2001-2020 are evaluated with panel data models. In the context of the purpose, SDG-3 parameters are used as maternal mortality rate, neonatal mortality rate, under-5 mortality rate, tuberculosis incidence, death rate due to diseases, traffic deaths, life expectancy, adolescent fertility rate and number of surviving infants who received 2 vaccines. Panel data quantile regression results show that ecological footprint and tuberculosis incidence are negative at all quantile values; newborn mortality rate is statistically significant only at the 10th and 50th quantile values. It is seen that the variable that affects the ecological footprint the most is life expectancy and the variable that affects the least is adolescent fertility rate. Robust estimator results indicate that maternal mortality rate, death rate due to diseases and adolescent fertility rate increase the ecological footprint; while under-5 mortality rate, tuberculosis incidence and number of surviving infants who received 2 vaccines decrease it.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ecological Footprint, OECD Countries, Panel Data Models, Sustainable Development Goal-3

SÜRDÜRÜLEBİLİR KALKINMA HEDEFİ-3 VE EKOLOJİK AYAK İZİ ARASINDAKİ İLİŞKİLERİN OECD ÜLKELERİ KAPSAMINDA DEĞERLENDİRİLMESİ

Öz

Bu makalede, OECD ülkelerinde 2001-2020 dönem aralığında Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Hedefi-3 (SDG-3) parametrelerinin ekolojik ayak izi üzerindeki etkileri panel veri modelleri ile değerlendirilmektedir. Amaç bağlamında SDG-3 parametreleri olarak anne ölüm oranı, yenidoğan ölüm oranı, 5 yaş altı ölüm oranı, tüberküloz insidansı, hastalıklara bağlı ölüm oranı, trafik ölümleri, yaşam beklentisi, ergen doğurganlık oranı ve 2 aşılı hayatta kalan bebek sayısı değişkenleri kullanılmaktadır. Panel veri kantil regresyon sonuçları, ekolojik ayak izi ile tüberküloz insidansının tüm kantil değerlerinde negatif yönlü; yenidoğan ölüm oranının ise sadece 10th ve 50th kantil değerlerinde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı olduğunu göstermektedir. Ekolojik ayak izini en fazla etkileyen değişkenin yaşam beklentisi, en az etkileyen değişkenin ise ergen doğurganlık oranı olduğu görülmektedir. Robust tahminci sonuçları ise anne ölüm oranı, hastalıklara bağlı ölüm oranı ve ergen doğurganlık oranının ekolojik ayak izini artırdığına; 5 yaş altı ölüm oranı, tüberküloz insidansı ve 2 aşılı hayatta kalan bebek sayısının azalttığına işaret etmektedir.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Ekolojik Ayak İzi, OECD Ülkeleri, Panel Veri Modelleri, Sürdürülebilir Kalkınma Hedefi-3

Kaynakça

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