TÜRKİYE VE BİRLEŞİK KRALLIK’TA GREVDE KAYBOLAN İŞGÜNÜ SAYISININ ÜCRET ÜZERİNDEKİ ETKİSİ

Yıl 2019, Sayı: 2, 143 - 168, 22.03.2019

Emre Ünal , Nezir Köse

Öz

Bu çalışmada, Türkiye ve Birleşik Krallık için ücret
üzerinde enflasyon ve ekonomik büyümenin yanı sıra grevde kaybolan işgünü
sayısının uzun ve kısa dönem etkileri 1963-2015 dönemlerini kapsayan yıllık
zaman serisi verileri kullanılarak Engle-Granger Eşbütünleşme Analizi ve Hata
Düzeltme Modeli çerçevesinde incelenmiştir. Elde edilen bulgular, her iki
ülkede de enflasyonun hem kısa hem de uzun dönemde, ekonomik büyümenin ise
sadece kısa dönemde ücretin belirleyicisi olduğunu göstermiştir. Ayrıca grevde
kaybolan işgünü sayısının ücreti uzun dönemde pozitif yönde etkilediği buna
karşın kısa dönemde istatistiksel olarak anlamlı bir etkisinin olmadığı bulunmuştur.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Eşbütünleşme, Hata Düzeltme, Girdi-Çıktı Analizi, Ücret Uzlaşması, Grevler, Matematiksel Temelli Sosyal Anlaşma

THE IMPACT OF LOST WORKING DAYS ON WAGE IN TURKEY AND UNITED KINGDOM DURING STRIKES

Öz

In
this research, the long- and short-term impacts of workdays lost to strikes,
inflation and real GDP growth on wages have been analyzed in Turkey and the
United Kingdom, using the Engle-Granger Cointegration Test and Error Correction
Model on annual data collected for the years 1963-2015. The results revealed
that wage levels in these two countries are determined by real GDP growth only
in the short-term, but are influenced by inflation in both the short- and
long-terms. In addition, it was found that wage levels are positively affected by
workdays lost to strikes in the long-term, whereas the impact of workdays lost
to strikes on wages is not statistically significant in the short-term.

Anahtar Kelimeler

Cointegration, Error Correction, Input-Output Analysis, Wage Setting, Strikes, Mathematical Base Social Contract

Kaynakça

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