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Comparison of Liquidity Measures and The Relationship Between Volatility of Liquidity and Stock Returns in Turkish Stock Market

Yıl 2015, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 1, 31 - 48, 14.10.2015
https://doi.org/10.18657/yecbu.99174

Öz

This paper aims to determine the relationship between stock returns and volatility of liquidity in Turkish Stock Market. It is also investigated whether various liquidity measures sort the stocks in the same way according to their liquidities. The data used in the study contains the closing prices, trading volumes and free floating of the stocks that are included in Borsa Istanbul 100 Index (BIST100) and covers the period from 28.02.2011 to 18.11.2014. Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) and Autoregressive Moving Average models (ARMA) are used to perform empirical analysis. According to the results, it can not be determined the clear significant relationship between stock returns and volatility of liquidity. Results also show that while stock size and Amihud illiquidity criteria sort the stocks in the same way, stock return standard deviation criterion produces different ranking

Kaynakça

  • Acharya, V.V., ve Pedersen, L.H., (2005). “Asset pricing with liquidity risk”, Journal of Financial Economics, 77, 375–410.
  • Akbas, F., Armstrong, W.J., ve Petkova, R., (2011). “The Volatility of Liquidity and Expected Stock Returns”. Working Paper Series. Department of Finance, Texas A&M University.
  • Amihud, Y., (2002). “Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects”. Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31–56.
  • Amihud, Y., ve Mendelson, H. (1986) “Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread”, Journal of Financial Economics, 17, (1986): 223-249.
  • Amihud, Y., ve Mendelson, H., (1991). “Liquidity, asset prices and financial policy”. Financial Analysts Journal, 47, 56–66.
  • Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H., ve Pedersen, L.H., (2005). “Liquidity and asset prices”. Foundations and Trends in Finance, 1 (4), 269–364.
  • Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., ve Lundblad, C. (2007) “Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets” The Review of Financial Studies 20, 1783 - 1831.
  • Bollerslev, T. (1986) “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity”, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307 -327.
  • Borgy, V., Idier, J., ve Fol, G.L., (2010). “Liquidity Problems in the FX Liquid Market: Ask for the BIL”, Working Paper, Banque de France.
  • Chalmers, J.M., ve Kadlec, G.B., (1998). “An empirical examination of the amortized spread”. Journal of Financial Economics, 48, 159–188.
  • Chordia, T., Subrahmanyam, A., ve Anshuman, V.R., (2001). “Trading activity and expected stock returns”. Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 3–32.
  • Darolles, S., ve Fol, G.L., (2014). “Trading volume and arbitrage.” Journal of Business Review, 3 (4).
  • Darolles, S., Fol, G.L., ve Mero, G. (2015) “ Measuring the liquidity part of volume” Journal of Banking & Finance, 50, 92-105.
  • Datar, V.T., Naik, N.Y., ve Radcliffe, R., (1998). “Liquidity and stock returns: an alternative test”. Journal of Financial Markets, 1, 203–219.
  • Demir, S. Yeşildağ, E., ve Açan F. (2008) “Likidite ile Hisse Senedi Getirisi Arasındaki İlişkinin Ölçülmesi: İMKB Uygulaması” Mali Çözüm, 90, 49-70.
  • Doğru, B., ve Nacakcı M.B. (2014) “Hisse Senedi Piyasasında Piyasa Yapıcılığı Sistemi ve Borsa İstanbul Uygulaması”, Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 15(1), 1-13.
  • Domowitz, I., ve Wang, J., (1994). “Auctions as algorithm: computerized trade execution and price discovery”. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18, 29–60.
  • Drew, M.E., ve Veeraraghavan, M., (2002). “A closer look at the size and value premium in emerging markets: evidence from the KualaLumpur stock exchange”. Asian Economic Journal, 16, 337–351.
  • Ekinci, C. (2004) “A Statistical Analysis Of Intraday Liquidity, Returns And Volatility of an Individual Stock From The Istanbul Stock Exchange”, Finance, 0305006 EconWPA (2004), http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.410842
  • Eleswarapu, V.R. (1997) “Cost of Transacting and Expected Returns In The NASDAQ Market”, Journal of Finance, 52 (5), (1997): 2113-2127.
  • Gallant, R.A., Rossi, P.E., ve Tauchen, G., (1992). “Stock prices and volume.” The Review of Financial Studies, 5 (2), 199–242.
  • Goyenko, R., Holden C.W., ve Trzcinka, C.A. (2009) “Do liquidity measures measure liquidity?” Journal of Financial Economics, 92, 153- 181.
  • Groot, C.G., ve Verschoor, W.F., (2002). “Further evidence on Asian stock return behavior”. Emerging Markets Review, 3, 179–193.
  • Hasbrouck, J., (2004). “Liquidity in the futures pits: inferring market dynamics from incomplete data”. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39, 305–326.
  • Hasbrouck, J, ve Seppi,D. J. (2001), “Common factors in prices, order flows, and liquidity”, Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 383-411.
  • Kayalı, M. M. ve Ünal S. (2005) “Piyasa Mikroyapısı, Finansal Varlıkların Likiditesi ve Fiyatların Oluşumu” Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 12, (2005)
  • Kang,W., ve Zhang, H.(2014) “Measuring liquidity in emerging markets”Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 27, 49–71
  • Kuzu, S. (2011). “ Likidite Azlığı Priminin Menkul Kıymet Getirileri Üzerinde Etkileri ve Avrasya İçin Önemi”, International Conference on Euroasian Economies, 130-137
  • Lesmond, D., Ogden, J., ve Trzcinka, C., (1999). “A new estimate of transaction costs”. Review of Financial Studies, 12, 1113–1141.
  • Liu, W., (2006). “A liquidity-augmented capital asset pricing model”. Journal of Financial Economics, 82, 631–671.
  • Lischewski, J., ve Voronkova, S. (2012) “Size, value and liquidity. Do They Really Matter on an Emerging Stock Market?” Emerging Markets Review, 13, 8–25
  • Önder, Z. ve Güner, Z.N. (1998) “İstanbul Menkul Kıymetler Borsasında satslan hisse senetlerinin alış-satış fiyat aralığı ve belirleyicileri” İMKB Dergisi, 2, 1–22.
  • Pastor, L., ve Stambaugh, R., (2003). “Liquidity risk and expected stock returns”. Journal of Political Economy 111, 642–685.
  • Reinganum, M.R. (1990). “Market Microstructure and Asset Pricing: An Empirical Investigation of NYSE and NASDAQ Securities”, Journal of Financial Economics, 28, 127-148.
  • Roll, R., (1984). “A simple implicit measure of the effective bid–ask spread in an efficient market”. Journal of Finance, 39, 1127–1139.
  • Sadeghi, M. (2011) “Investment opportunities and stock liquidity: evidence from DJIM index additions in the Persian Gulf states” Investment, Management and Financial Innovations, Vol 8. Issue.1, 53-62.
  • Salehi M., Talebnia G., ve Ghorbani, B. (2011) “A Study of the Relationship Between Liquidity and Stock Returns of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange” World Applied Sciences Journal, 12 (9): 1403-1408.
  • Westerholm, J. (2002) “The Relationship Between Liquidity, Trading Activity And Return: Studies of the Finnish and Swedish stock markets”, Ekonomi och Samhalle, 107, (2002): 1-157
  • Yıldırım, B.D. (2011) “Türkiye’de Finansal Piyasa Likiditesi Ölçümü ve Analizi, Central Bank Review, 11, 11-28.

Türkiye Hisse Senedi Piyasasında Likidite Ölçülerinin Karşılaştırılması ve Likidite Volatilitesi Hisse Senedi Getirisi Arasındaki İlişki

Yıl 2015, Cilt: 22 Sayı: 1, 31 - 48, 14.10.2015
https://doi.org/10.18657/yecbu.99174

Öz

Bu çalışma Türkiye Hisse Senedi piyasasında hisse senedi getirileri ile likidite volatilitesi arasındaki ilişkiyi belirlemeyi amaçlamaktadır. Ayrıca farklı likidite ölçülerinin hisse senetlerini likiditelerine göre aynı şekilde sıralayıp sıralamadıklarını da araştırmaktadır. Çalışmada 28.02.2011-18.11.2014 periyodunda Borsa İstanbul 100 (BİST100) endeksine giren hisse senetlerinin günlük kapanış, işlem hacmi ve fiili dolaşımdaki hisse senetleri verileri kullanılmıştır. Ampirik analizde Genelleştirilmiş Otoregresif Koşullu Değişen Varyanslılık (GARCH) ve Ardışık
Bağımlı Hareketli Ortalamalar (ARMA) modelleri kullanılmıştır. Çalışma sonuçlarına göre hisse senedi getirileri ile likidite volatilitesi arasında açık bir anlamlı ilişki belirlenememiştir. Çalışma
sonuçları aynı zamanda hisse senedi büyüklüğü ve Amihud likidite yetersizliği kriterlerine göre hisse senetlerinin benzer şekilde sıralandığını, getiri standart sapması kriterine göre ise farklı bir sıralamanın üretildiğini ortaya koymaktadır.

Kaynakça

  • Acharya, V.V., ve Pedersen, L.H., (2005). “Asset pricing with liquidity risk”, Journal of Financial Economics, 77, 375–410.
  • Akbas, F., Armstrong, W.J., ve Petkova, R., (2011). “The Volatility of Liquidity and Expected Stock Returns”. Working Paper Series. Department of Finance, Texas A&M University.
  • Amihud, Y., (2002). “Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects”. Journal of Financial Markets, 5, 31–56.
  • Amihud, Y., ve Mendelson, H. (1986) “Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread”, Journal of Financial Economics, 17, (1986): 223-249.
  • Amihud, Y., ve Mendelson, H., (1991). “Liquidity, asset prices and financial policy”. Financial Analysts Journal, 47, 56–66.
  • Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H., ve Pedersen, L.H., (2005). “Liquidity and asset prices”. Foundations and Trends in Finance, 1 (4), 269–364.
  • Bekaert, G., Harvey, C. R., ve Lundblad, C. (2007) “Liquidity and Expected Returns: Lessons from Emerging Markets” The Review of Financial Studies 20, 1783 - 1831.
  • Bollerslev, T. (1986) “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity”, Journal of Econometrics, 31, 307 -327.
  • Borgy, V., Idier, J., ve Fol, G.L., (2010). “Liquidity Problems in the FX Liquid Market: Ask for the BIL”, Working Paper, Banque de France.
  • Chalmers, J.M., ve Kadlec, G.B., (1998). “An empirical examination of the amortized spread”. Journal of Financial Economics, 48, 159–188.
  • Chordia, T., Subrahmanyam, A., ve Anshuman, V.R., (2001). “Trading activity and expected stock returns”. Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 3–32.
  • Darolles, S., ve Fol, G.L., (2014). “Trading volume and arbitrage.” Journal of Business Review, 3 (4).
  • Darolles, S., Fol, G.L., ve Mero, G. (2015) “ Measuring the liquidity part of volume” Journal of Banking & Finance, 50, 92-105.
  • Datar, V.T., Naik, N.Y., ve Radcliffe, R., (1998). “Liquidity and stock returns: an alternative test”. Journal of Financial Markets, 1, 203–219.
  • Demir, S. Yeşildağ, E., ve Açan F. (2008) “Likidite ile Hisse Senedi Getirisi Arasındaki İlişkinin Ölçülmesi: İMKB Uygulaması” Mali Çözüm, 90, 49-70.
  • Doğru, B., ve Nacakcı M.B. (2014) “Hisse Senedi Piyasasında Piyasa Yapıcılığı Sistemi ve Borsa İstanbul Uygulaması”, Doğuş Üniversitesi Dergisi, 15(1), 1-13.
  • Domowitz, I., ve Wang, J., (1994). “Auctions as algorithm: computerized trade execution and price discovery”. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18, 29–60.
  • Drew, M.E., ve Veeraraghavan, M., (2002). “A closer look at the size and value premium in emerging markets: evidence from the KualaLumpur stock exchange”. Asian Economic Journal, 16, 337–351.
  • Ekinci, C. (2004) “A Statistical Analysis Of Intraday Liquidity, Returns And Volatility of an Individual Stock From The Istanbul Stock Exchange”, Finance, 0305006 EconWPA (2004), http://dx.doi.org/10.2139/ssrn.410842
  • Eleswarapu, V.R. (1997) “Cost of Transacting and Expected Returns In The NASDAQ Market”, Journal of Finance, 52 (5), (1997): 2113-2127.
  • Gallant, R.A., Rossi, P.E., ve Tauchen, G., (1992). “Stock prices and volume.” The Review of Financial Studies, 5 (2), 199–242.
  • Goyenko, R., Holden C.W., ve Trzcinka, C.A. (2009) “Do liquidity measures measure liquidity?” Journal of Financial Economics, 92, 153- 181.
  • Groot, C.G., ve Verschoor, W.F., (2002). “Further evidence on Asian stock return behavior”. Emerging Markets Review, 3, 179–193.
  • Hasbrouck, J., (2004). “Liquidity in the futures pits: inferring market dynamics from incomplete data”. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 39, 305–326.
  • Hasbrouck, J, ve Seppi,D. J. (2001), “Common factors in prices, order flows, and liquidity”, Journal of Financial Economics, 59, 383-411.
  • Kayalı, M. M. ve Ünal S. (2005) “Piyasa Mikroyapısı, Finansal Varlıkların Likiditesi ve Fiyatların Oluşumu” Dumlupınar Üniversitesi Sosyal Bilimler Dergisi 12, (2005)
  • Kang,W., ve Zhang, H.(2014) “Measuring liquidity in emerging markets”Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, 27, 49–71
  • Kuzu, S. (2011). “ Likidite Azlığı Priminin Menkul Kıymet Getirileri Üzerinde Etkileri ve Avrasya İçin Önemi”, International Conference on Euroasian Economies, 130-137
  • Lesmond, D., Ogden, J., ve Trzcinka, C., (1999). “A new estimate of transaction costs”. Review of Financial Studies, 12, 1113–1141.
  • Liu, W., (2006). “A liquidity-augmented capital asset pricing model”. Journal of Financial Economics, 82, 631–671.
  • Lischewski, J., ve Voronkova, S. (2012) “Size, value and liquidity. Do They Really Matter on an Emerging Stock Market?” Emerging Markets Review, 13, 8–25
  • Önder, Z. ve Güner, Z.N. (1998) “İstanbul Menkul Kıymetler Borsasında satslan hisse senetlerinin alış-satış fiyat aralığı ve belirleyicileri” İMKB Dergisi, 2, 1–22.
  • Pastor, L., ve Stambaugh, R., (2003). “Liquidity risk and expected stock returns”. Journal of Political Economy 111, 642–685.
  • Reinganum, M.R. (1990). “Market Microstructure and Asset Pricing: An Empirical Investigation of NYSE and NASDAQ Securities”, Journal of Financial Economics, 28, 127-148.
  • Roll, R., (1984). “A simple implicit measure of the effective bid–ask spread in an efficient market”. Journal of Finance, 39, 1127–1139.
  • Sadeghi, M. (2011) “Investment opportunities and stock liquidity: evidence from DJIM index additions in the Persian Gulf states” Investment, Management and Financial Innovations, Vol 8. Issue.1, 53-62.
  • Salehi M., Talebnia G., ve Ghorbani, B. (2011) “A Study of the Relationship Between Liquidity and Stock Returns of Companies Listed in Tehran Stock Exchange” World Applied Sciences Journal, 12 (9): 1403-1408.
  • Westerholm, J. (2002) “The Relationship Between Liquidity, Trading Activity And Return: Studies of the Finnish and Swedish stock markets”, Ekonomi och Samhalle, 107, (2002): 1-157
  • Yıldırım, B.D. (2011) “Türkiye’de Finansal Piyasa Likiditesi Ölçümü ve Analizi, Central Bank Review, 11, 11-28.
Toplam 39 adet kaynakça vardır.

Ayrıntılar

Birincil Dil Türkçe
Bölüm Makaleler
Yazarlar

Cüneyt Akar

Yayımlanma Tarihi 14 Ekim 2015
Yayımlandığı Sayı Yıl 2015 Cilt: 22 Sayı: 1

Kaynak Göster

APA Akar, C. (2015). Türkiye Hisse Senedi Piyasasında Likidite Ölçülerinin Karşılaştırılması ve Likidite Volatilitesi Hisse Senedi Getirisi Arasındaki İlişki. Journal of Management and Economics, 22(1), 31-48. https://doi.org/10.18657/yecbu.99174

Cited By


TÜRKİYE HİSSE SENEDİ PİYASASINDA LİKİDİTE VE GETİRİ İLİŞKİSİ
Ömer Halisdemir Üniversitesi İktisadi ve İdari Bilimler Fakültesi Dergisi
https://doi.org/10.25287/ohuiibf.317710