Ekolojik Yaşamı Tehdit Eden Değişkenlerin Veri Madenciliği Modelleri Uygulamasıyla Belirlenmesi: Türkiye Örneği

Year 2023, , 229 - 249, 31.12.2023

Cahit Çelik , Selin Karlılar , Gulsen Kıral

https://doi.org/10.51541/nicel.1374201

Abstract

Ekolojik denge, belirli bir ekosistemde çeşitli organizmaların uyum içinde bir arada yaşadığı durumu ifade eder. Son dönemlerde, küresel ekosistemi tehdit eden önemli çevresel sorunlar ortaya çıkmıştır. Türkiye, su kıtlığı ve sıcaklık dalgalanmaları gibi olumsuz etkilerin özellikle küresel ısınma tarafından tetiklendiğini belirtti. Küresel ısınmanın çevreye olumsuz etkileri, Türkiye'yi de tehlikeye atabilir. Bu nedenle, çalışmanın amacı, zaman serisi analizi ve çoklu regresyon analizi kullanarak 1960'tan 2020'ye kadar Türkiye'deki ekolojik yaşamı olumsuz etkileyen değişkenleri belirlemedir. Regresyon analizi, endüstriyel atık ve inşaat faaliyetlerinin Türkiye'deki karbon emisyonlarını önemli ölçüde etkilediği fikrini desteklemek için yeterli istatistiksel kanıt sağlamadığını gösterdi. Ayrıca, Türkiye'de enerji üretimi, yakıtla çalışan araçlara olan bağımlılık, nüfus artışı, elektrik tüketimi, gelir düzeyleri, yakıtla çalışan araçlara olan bağımlılık, eğitim eksikliği ve gaz emisyonları gibi çeşitli faktörlerin çevre üzerinde olumsuz etkileri olduğu tespit edilmiştir.

Keywords

Ekolojik Yaşam, Küresel Isınma, Regresyon ve Zaman Serisi Analizi, Türkiye

Determination Of Variables Endangering Ecological Living By Application Of Data–Mining Models: In Case Of Turkish Geography

Abstract

The concept of ecological balance refers to the state in which various organisms coexist harmoniously within a given ecosystem. In recent times, there have been significant environmental challenges that pose a threat to the global ecosystem. It has come to attention that Turkey is experiencing adverse effects of global warming, particularly in the form of water scarcity and temperature fluctuations. Moreover, Turkey is categorized as one of the nations at risk in terms of the detrimental impacts of global warming on the environment. In light of this, the objective of this study is to employ multiple regression analysis and time series analysis to identify the variables that have a negative influence on ecological life in Turkey during the period spanning from 1960 to 2020. The findings of the regression analysis suggest that there is insufficient statistical evidence to support the notion that industrial waste and construction activities have a significant impact on carbon emissions in Turkey. Furthermore, in Turkey, various factors such as population expansion, energy consumption, electricity usage, income levels, reliance on fuel-powered cars, lack of education, energy production, and gas emissions have been identified as having a negative impact on the environment.

Keywords

Ecological Life, Global Warming, Regression and Time Series Analysis, Turkey

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