Investigating The Relationship on CO2, Tourism, Economic Growth and Trade Openness in Turkey

Year 2019, , 321 - 331, 19.03.2019

Tuncer Gövdeli

https://doi.org/10.18657/yonveek.467176

Cited By: 6

Abstract

The purpose of this study is to examine the impact of economic growth, trade openness and tourist arrivals on CO₂ emissions by considering the period 1970 through to 2014. For this purpose, firstly, by analyzing the stability of the variables, it was determined that the variables were stationary at level I (1). After the variables were determined to be stationary at I (1), the ARDL boundary test analysis was performed. The cointegration relation was determined according to the ARDL boundary test analysis. In addition, the long-term coefficients of the variables are positive and significant. According to the VECM Granger causality analysis, there was found to be a causality in Turkey between economic growth and CO₂ emissions, between trade openness and CO₂ emissions, between tourist arrivals and CO₂ emissions and between trade openness and economic growth. According to the long-term causality results, there is a relationship of causality between economic growth, trade openness and tourist arrivals and CO₂ emissions.

Keywords

Tourism, CO2 Emission, Economic Growth, Trade Openness, Turkey

Türkiye'de CO2, Turizm, Ekonomik Büyüme ve Dışa Açıklık İlişkilerin Araştırılması

Abstract

Bu çalışmanın amacı, 1970 ile 2014 dönemi arasında Türkiye’de ekonomik
büyüme, dışa açıklık ve turist sayısının CO₂ emisyonu üzerindeki
etkisini incelemektir. Bu amaçla öncelikle değişkenlerin durağanlıkları analiz
edilerek değişkenlerin I(1) mertebede durağan oldukları belirlenmiştir.
Değişkenlerin I(1) mertebede durağan oldukları belirlendikten sonra ARDL sınır
testi analizine geçilmiştir. ARDL sınır testi analizine göre eşbütünleşme
ilişkisi tespit edilmiştir. Ayrıca değişkenlerin uzun dönem katsayıları pozitif
ve anlamlıdır. VECM Granger nedensellik analizine göre Türkiye’de ekonomik
büyümeden CO₂ emisyonuna doğru, dışa açıklıktan CO₂
emisyonuna doğru, turist sayısından CO₂ emisyonuna doğru ve dışa
açıklıktan ekonomik büyümeye doğru nedensellik tespit edilmiştir. Uzun dönem
nedensellik sonuçlarına göre ekonomik büyüme, dışa açıklık ve turist sayısından
CO₂ emisyonuna doğru nedensellik ilişkisi vardır. 

Keywords

Turizm, CO2 Emisyonu, Ekonomik Büyüme, Dış Açıklık, Türkiye

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