Changes in Climate Parameters and Their Effects on Renewable Energy Resources Potential: Bursa Sample
Yıl 2021,
Cilt: 35 Sayı: 1, 33 - 44, 01.06.2021
Aslı Ayhan Arslan
,
Tuğba Biçen
,
Ali Vardar
Öz
In this study, the objective was to find at what rate Bursa province of Turkey, is affected by the
climatic process called "climate change" and the impacts of climate change on the potential of renewable energy resources, especially solar energy and wind energy. As a result of analyzes, it is seen that there is significant warming between 1960 and 2017. Especially soil temperatures and solar radiation intensity support this result. As a result of this work, it was determined that the changes in climate parameters for the province of Bursa have significant effects on renewable energy potential. According to the results obtained, there has been an increase of 34.5% in the solar energy potential, of 8.2% in thermal solar energy potential and of 3.6%-6.7 in soil temperature potential depending on the depths. In the wind energy potential, there was a decrease of 75% between 1960-1998 and an increase of 217.1% between 1999-2017.
Kaynakça
- Akpinar, E.K., Akpinar, S. and Oztop, H.F. 2006. Effects of Meteorological Parameters on Air Pollutant
Concentrations in Elazig, Turkey. International Journal of Green Energy, 3: 407–421. doi:
10.1080/01971520600873392.
- Aksungur, K.M., Kurban, M. and Filik Ü.B. 2013. Analysis and Evaluation of Solar Radiation Data in Different
Regions of Turkey. Energy Efficiency and Quality Symposium Proceedings Book (in Turkish).
- Barlas, N. 2013. Environmental Problems of Our Era From Global Crises to Sustainable Society. İstanbul,
Boğaziçi University Press, (in Turkish).
- Busecap, 2017. Bursa Metropolitan Municipality Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Adaptation Plan.
Accessed April 10, 2018 (in Turkish). https://www.bursa.bel.tr/dosyalar/Bursa_BUSECAP_2017.pdf
- Butler, J.H. and Montzka, S.A. 2018. The Noaa Annual Greenhouse Gas Index (aggi). Accessed: October 20,
2018. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/aggi.html
- Bridgman, H.A., Davies, T.D., Jickells, T., Hunova, I., Tovey, K., Bridges, K. and Surapipith, V. 2002. Air
Pollution in The Krusne Hory Region, Czech Republic During The 1990s. Atmospheric Environment, 36:
3375–3389. doi: 10.1016/S1352-2310(02)00317-5.
- Caseldine, C., Langdon, P. and Holmes, N. 2006. Early Holocene Climate Variability and The Timing and
Extent of The Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM) in Northern Iceland. Quaternary Science Reviews 25:
2314-2331. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.003.
- Dirican, M. 1997. What's Happening Up There? Journal of Science and Technology, 355: 32-39 (in Turkish).
- DSİ 2018. General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works, 1st Regional Directorate (in Turkish).
- Erbaşlar, T. and Taşdemir, Y. 2007. The Relationships Among Classic Air Pollutants Measured in The
Atmosphere of Bursa. Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering, 12 (2): 9-19 (in Turkish).
- Fröhlich, C. and Lean J. 2004. Solar Radiative Output and Its Variability: Evidence and Mechanisms. The
Astronomy and Astrophysics Review, 12 (4): 273-320. doi: 10.1007/s00159-004-0024-1.
- GEPA 2018. Atlas of Solar Energy Potential. Accessed: April 10, 2018 (in Turkish).
http://www.yegm.gov.tr/MyCalculator/pages/16.aspx
- Görgülü, M., Koluman, D.N. and Göncü, S. 2009. Raising Livestock and Global Warming. V. National Animal
Nutrition Congress. Accessed: March 19, 2018 (in Turkish). http://www.muratgorgulu.com.tr
- IPCC 1990. Working Group I Report “Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment.” Accessed: April 24,
2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf
- IPCC 2007. IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007, Working Group I: The Physical Science
Basis. Accessed: April 24, 2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspmprojections-of.html
- IPCC 2013. Working Group I Report "Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" Accessed: April 24,
2018. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
- Klug, H. 2001. Basic Course in Wind Energy. Istanbul, Turkey: German Wind Energy Institute (DEWI).
- Leggett, J. 1991. Global Warming, Der Greenpeace Report. Piper GmbH&Co.KG, München.
- MGM 2018. Turkish State Meteorological Service, Ankara (in Turkish).
- Moss, A., Jouany J.P. and Newbold J. 2000. Methane Production by Ruminants: Its Contribution to Global
Warming. Annales de zootechnie, INRA/EDP Sciences, 49 (3):231-253. doi: 10.1051/animres:2000119.
- Nasa 2016. Global Mean Surface Temperature. Accessed: August 10, 2016.
https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a012300/a012305/gistemp_jan-jun16.png
- Öztürk, H.H. 2005. Solar Radiation Exergy Changes in the Mediterranean Region. III. Renewable Energy
Resources Symposium Proceedings Book, Mersin (in Turkish).
- Pelletier, J.D. 2006. Sensitivity of Playa Windblown-Dust Emissions to Climatic and Anthropogenic Change. J.
Arid Environ., 66:62–75. doi: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.10.010.
- Quaschning, V. 2010. Renewable Energies and Climate Protection. Hanser Verlag, München (in German).
- Quaschning, V. 2011. Renewable Energy Systems. Hanser Verlag, München (in German).
- Solanki, S.K., Usoskkin, I. G., Kromer, B., Schüssler, M. and Beer, J. 2004. Unusual Activity of The Sun During
Recent Decades Compared to The Previous 11.000 Years. Nature 431: 1084-1087. doi: 10.1038/nature02995.
- Soysal M.İ. 1992. Principles of Biometry, Trakya University Tekirdag Agricultural Faculty Publication No: 95,
Tekirdag (in Turkish).
- SPSS (version 23) 2015. Armonk, New York: IBM.
- Taşkın O. and Vardar A. 2016. Tarımsal Üretimde Bazı Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynakları Kullanımı, Uludağ
Üniv. Ziraat Fak. Derg., 30(1): 179-184 (in Turkish).
- TÜİK 2018. Turkish Statistical Institute. Accessed 01 April 2018 (in Turkish). http://www.tuik.gov.tr
- Türkeş, M. 2001. Weather, Climate, Severe Weather Events and Global Warming. Turkish State Meteorological
Service seminars in 2000, Technical Presentations. Series of Seminars 1:187-205, Ankara. Accessed: March
13, 2005 (in Turkish). https://www.mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yayinlar/Havaiklim.pdf
- Vardar, A., Darga, A. and Kurtulmuş, F. 2011. Local indications of climate changes in Turkey: Bursa as a case
example. Climatic Change (2011) 106: 255–266. doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9904-8.
- Vok, M.V. 2015. Renewable Energy Sources: Current Perspectives and Future Prospects in Turkey, Energy
Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects, 37:1, 1-10, doi:
10.1080/15567036.2014.947447.
- Yaslıoğlu, E. and İlhan, H. 2018. Effects of Global Climate Changes on Broiler Production in Turkey: Case of
The Marmara Region. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27:196-203.1990.
İklim Parametrelerindeki Değişiklikler ve Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynakları Potansiyeline Etkileri: Bursa Örneği
Yıl 2021,
Cilt: 35 Sayı: 1, 33 - 44, 01.06.2021
Aslı Ayhan Arslan
,
Tuğba Biçen
,
Ali Vardar
Öz
Bu çalışmada, Türkiye’nin Bursa ilinin “İklim Değişikliği” adı verilen iklimsel süreçten ne oranda
etkilendiği ve iklim değişikliğinin özellikle güneş enerjisi ve rüzgâr enerjisi olmak üzere yenilenebilir enerji
kaynakları potansiyeline etkileri ortaya konulmaya çalışılmıştır. Analizler sonucunda 1960 ve 2017 yılları
arasında önemli bir ısınma olduğu görülmektedir. Özellikle toprak sıcaklıkları ve güneş radyasyonu yoğunluğu bu sonucu desteklemektedir. Bu çalışma sonucunda, Bursa ili için iklim parametrelerindeki değişikliklerin yenilenebilir enerji potansiyeli üzerinde önemli etkileri olduğu belirlenmiştir. Elde edilen sonuçlara göre, güneş enerjisi potansiyelinde %34.5, ısısal güneş enerjisi potansiyelinde %8.2 ve derinliklere bağlı olarak toprak sıcaklığı potansiyelinde %3.6-6.7 artış olmuştur. Rüzgar enerjisi potansiyelinde 1960-1998 yılları arasında %75 azalma ve 1999-2017 yılları arasında %217.1 artış gözlenmiştir.
Kaynakça
- Akpinar, E.K., Akpinar, S. and Oztop, H.F. 2006. Effects of Meteorological Parameters on Air Pollutant
Concentrations in Elazig, Turkey. International Journal of Green Energy, 3: 407–421. doi:
10.1080/01971520600873392.
- Aksungur, K.M., Kurban, M. and Filik Ü.B. 2013. Analysis and Evaluation of Solar Radiation Data in Different
Regions of Turkey. Energy Efficiency and Quality Symposium Proceedings Book (in Turkish).
- Barlas, N. 2013. Environmental Problems of Our Era From Global Crises to Sustainable Society. İstanbul,
Boğaziçi University Press, (in Turkish).
- Busecap, 2017. Bursa Metropolitan Municipality Sustainable Energy and Climate Change Adaptation Plan.
Accessed April 10, 2018 (in Turkish). https://www.bursa.bel.tr/dosyalar/Bursa_BUSECAP_2017.pdf
- Butler, J.H. and Montzka, S.A. 2018. The Noaa Annual Greenhouse Gas Index (aggi). Accessed: October 20,
2018. https://www.esrl.noaa.gov/gmd/aggi/aggi.html
- Bridgman, H.A., Davies, T.D., Jickells, T., Hunova, I., Tovey, K., Bridges, K. and Surapipith, V. 2002. Air
Pollution in The Krusne Hory Region, Czech Republic During The 1990s. Atmospheric Environment, 36:
3375–3389. doi: 10.1016/S1352-2310(02)00317-5.
- Caseldine, C., Langdon, P. and Holmes, N. 2006. Early Holocene Climate Variability and The Timing and
Extent of The Holocene Thermal Maximum (HTM) in Northern Iceland. Quaternary Science Reviews 25:
2314-2331. doi: 10.1016/j.quascirev.2006.02.003.
- Dirican, M. 1997. What's Happening Up There? Journal of Science and Technology, 355: 32-39 (in Turkish).
- DSİ 2018. General Directorate of State Hydraulic Works, 1st Regional Directorate (in Turkish).
- Erbaşlar, T. and Taşdemir, Y. 2007. The Relationships Among Classic Air Pollutants Measured in The
Atmosphere of Bursa. Uludağ University Journal of The Faculty of Engineering, 12 (2): 9-19 (in Turkish).
- Fröhlich, C. and Lean J. 2004. Solar Radiative Output and Its Variability: Evidence and Mechanisms. The
Astronomy and Astrophysics Review, 12 (4): 273-320. doi: 10.1007/s00159-004-0024-1.
- GEPA 2018. Atlas of Solar Energy Potential. Accessed: April 10, 2018 (in Turkish).
http://www.yegm.gov.tr/MyCalculator/pages/16.aspx
- Görgülü, M., Koluman, D.N. and Göncü, S. 2009. Raising Livestock and Global Warming. V. National Animal
Nutrition Congress. Accessed: March 19, 2018 (in Turkish). http://www.muratgorgulu.com.tr
- IPCC 1990. Working Group I Report “Climate Change: The IPCC Scientific Assessment.” Accessed: April 24,
2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/ipccreports/far/wg_I/ipcc_far_wg_I_full_report.pdf
- IPCC 2007. IPCC Fourth Assessment Report: Climate Change 2007, Working Group I: The Physical Science
Basis. Accessed: April 24, 2018. https://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/ar4/wg1/en/spmsspmprojections-of.html
- IPCC 2013. Working Group I Report "Climate Change 2013: The Physical Science Basis" Accessed: April 24,
2018. http://www.ipcc.ch/publications_and_data/publications_and_data_reports.shtml
- Klug, H. 2001. Basic Course in Wind Energy. Istanbul, Turkey: German Wind Energy Institute (DEWI).
- Leggett, J. 1991. Global Warming, Der Greenpeace Report. Piper GmbH&Co.KG, München.
- MGM 2018. Turkish State Meteorological Service, Ankara (in Turkish).
- Moss, A., Jouany J.P. and Newbold J. 2000. Methane Production by Ruminants: Its Contribution to Global
Warming. Annales de zootechnie, INRA/EDP Sciences, 49 (3):231-253. doi: 10.1051/animres:2000119.
- Nasa 2016. Global Mean Surface Temperature. Accessed: August 10, 2016.
https://svs.gsfc.nasa.gov/vis/a010000/a012300/a012305/gistemp_jan-jun16.png
- Öztürk, H.H. 2005. Solar Radiation Exergy Changes in the Mediterranean Region. III. Renewable Energy
Resources Symposium Proceedings Book, Mersin (in Turkish).
- Pelletier, J.D. 2006. Sensitivity of Playa Windblown-Dust Emissions to Climatic and Anthropogenic Change. J.
Arid Environ., 66:62–75. doi: 10.1016/j.jaridenv.2005.10.010.
- Quaschning, V. 2010. Renewable Energies and Climate Protection. Hanser Verlag, München (in German).
- Quaschning, V. 2011. Renewable Energy Systems. Hanser Verlag, München (in German).
- Solanki, S.K., Usoskkin, I. G., Kromer, B., Schüssler, M. and Beer, J. 2004. Unusual Activity of The Sun During
Recent Decades Compared to The Previous 11.000 Years. Nature 431: 1084-1087. doi: 10.1038/nature02995.
- Soysal M.İ. 1992. Principles of Biometry, Trakya University Tekirdag Agricultural Faculty Publication No: 95,
Tekirdag (in Turkish).
- SPSS (version 23) 2015. Armonk, New York: IBM.
- Taşkın O. and Vardar A. 2016. Tarımsal Üretimde Bazı Yenilenebilir Enerji Kaynakları Kullanımı, Uludağ
Üniv. Ziraat Fak. Derg., 30(1): 179-184 (in Turkish).
- TÜİK 2018. Turkish Statistical Institute. Accessed 01 April 2018 (in Turkish). http://www.tuik.gov.tr
- Türkeş, M. 2001. Weather, Climate, Severe Weather Events and Global Warming. Turkish State Meteorological
Service seminars in 2000, Technical Presentations. Series of Seminars 1:187-205, Ankara. Accessed: March
13, 2005 (in Turkish). https://www.mgm.gov.tr/FILES/iklim/yayinlar/Havaiklim.pdf
- Vardar, A., Darga, A. and Kurtulmuş, F. 2011. Local indications of climate changes in Turkey: Bursa as a case
example. Climatic Change (2011) 106: 255–266. doi: 10.1007/s10584-010-9904-8.
- Vok, M.V. 2015. Renewable Energy Sources: Current Perspectives and Future Prospects in Turkey, Energy
Sources, Part A: Recovery, Utilization, and Environmental Effects, 37:1, 1-10, doi:
10.1080/15567036.2014.947447.
- Yaslıoğlu, E. and İlhan, H. 2018. Effects of Global Climate Changes on Broiler Production in Turkey: Case of
The Marmara Region. Fresenius Environmental Bulletin, 27:196-203.1990.